Battalion Oil Corp Stock Performance

BATL Stock  USD 2.78  0.03  1.07%   
Battalion Oil holds a performance score of 9 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 3.65, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Battalion Oil will likely underperform. Use Battalion Oil value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to analyze future returns on Battalion Oil.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Battalion Oil Corp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak basic indicators, Battalion Oil disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
17.08
Five Day Return
(21.29)
Year To Date Return
136.13
Ten Year Return
(72.59)
All Time Return
(72.59)
1
How cyclical is Battalion Oil Corporation stock compared to rivals - July 2025 Opening Moves Community Driven Trade Alerts - newser.com
11/14/2025
2
Can Battalion Oil Corporation stock expand revenue streams - 2025 AllTime Highs Intraday High Probability Alerts - newser.com
11/18/2025
3
Acquisition by Little Richard H of 1000 shares of Battalion Oil at 14.579 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/15/2025
4
Acquisition by Daniel Rohling of 2337 shares of Battalion Oil at 15.2263 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
5
Battalion Oil Corporation Announces Operational Update
01/23/2026
6
Penny Stocks To Follow Today - January 26th - MarketBeat
01/26/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow57.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-65.4 M

Battalion Oil Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  110.00  in Battalion Oil Corp on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  171.00  from holding Battalion Oil Corp or generate 155.45% return on investment over 90 days. Battalion Oil Corp is currently generating 3.3684% in daily expected returns and assumes 27.8914% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than Battalion, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Battalion Oil is expected to generate 34.56 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 34.56 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Battalion Oil Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Battalion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.78 90 days 2.78 
about 6.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Battalion Oil to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.83 (This Battalion Oil Corp probability density function shows the probability of Battalion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.65 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Battalion Oil will likely underperform. In addition to that Battalion Oil Corp has an alpha of 2.8253, implying that it can generate a 2.83 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Battalion Oil Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Battalion Oil

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Battalion Oil Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Battalion Oil's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.1231.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.346.8134.93
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.9318.6020.65
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Battalion Oil Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Battalion Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Battalion Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Battalion Oil Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Battalion Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
2.83
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.65
σ
Overall volatility
0.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Battalion Oil Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Battalion Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Battalion Oil Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Battalion Oil Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Battalion Oil Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Battalion Oil Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Battalion Oil Corp currently holds 165.87 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.86, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Battalion Oil Corp has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Battalion Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 193.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (31.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 86.8 M.
Over 77.0% of Battalion Oil shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
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Battalion Oil Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Battalion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Battalion Oil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Battalion Oil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments19.7 M

Battalion Oil Fundamentals Growth

Battalion Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Battalion Oil, and Battalion Oil fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Battalion Stock performance.

About Battalion Oil Performance

By examining Battalion Oil's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Battalion Oil's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Battalion Oil is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 17.95  33.64 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.09)(0.09)
Return On Capital Employed(0.04)(0.04)
Return On Assets(0.09)(0.09)
Return On Equity(0.20)(0.19)

Things to note about Battalion Oil Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Battalion Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Battalion Oil Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Battalion Oil Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Battalion Oil Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Battalion Oil Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Battalion Oil Corp currently holds 165.87 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.86, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Battalion Oil Corp has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Battalion Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 193.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (31.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 86.8 M.
Over 77.0% of Battalion Oil shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
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Evaluating Battalion Oil's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Battalion Oil's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Battalion Oil's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Battalion Oil's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Battalion Oil's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Battalion Oil's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Battalion Oil's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Battalion Oil's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Battalion Oil's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Battalion Oil's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Battalion Oil's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Battalion Oil Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Battalion Oil's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Battalion Oil's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Battalion Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Battalion Oil Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in poverty.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Battalion Oil. Projected growth potential of Battalion fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Battalion Oil assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
7.127
Earnings Share
(3.36)
Revenue Per Share
11.146
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Return On Assets
0.0139
The market value of Battalion Oil Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Battalion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Battalion Oil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Battalion Oil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Battalion Oil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Battalion Oil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Battalion Oil's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Battalion Oil should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Battalion Oil's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.