Innovator Equity Buffer Etf Performance

BAUG Etf  USD 50.68  0.02  0.04%   
The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0616, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Innovator Equity's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Innovator Equity is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Innovator Equity Buffer are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Innovator Equity is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
1
Discipline and Rules-Based Execution in BAUG Response - news.stocktradersdaily.com
12/12/2025
2
DJT Stock Falls as Trump Media Launches Five America-First ETFs. What Is It Trying to Do - Barrons
12/30/2025
3
Commonwealth Equity Services LLC Reduces Stock Position in Innovator U.S. Equity Buffer ETF August BAUG - Defense World
01/12/2026
4
Understanding the Setup and Scalable Risk - Stock Traders Daily
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Innovator Equity Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,952  in Innovator Equity Buffer on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  114.00  from holding Innovator Equity Buffer or generate 2.3% return on investment over 90 days. Innovator Equity Buffer is currently generating 0.0389% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.4395% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 3% of etfs are less volatile than Innovator, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Innovator Equity is expected to generate 1.36 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.72 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Innovator Equity Buffer extending back to August 01, 2019. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Innovator Equity stands at 50.68, as last reported on the 29th of January, with the highest price reaching 50.68 and the lowest price hitting 50.64 during the day.
3 y Volatility
8.92
200 Day MA
47.2556
1 y Volatility
8.12
50 Day MA
49.8521
Inception Date
2019-07-31
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Innovator Equity Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Innovator Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 50.68 90 days 50.68 
nearly 4.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Innovator Equity to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.66 (This Innovator Equity Buffer probability density function shows the probability of Innovator Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Innovator Equity has a beta of 0.0616 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Innovator Equity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Innovator Equity Buffer will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Innovator Equity Buffer has an alpha of 0.0359, implying that it can generate a 0.0359 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Innovator Equity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Innovator Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Innovator Equity Buffer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Innovator Equity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.2250.6651.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.9250.3650.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
50.2450.6751.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
49.9750.3650.74
Details

Innovator Equity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Innovator Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Innovator Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Innovator Equity Buffer, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Innovator Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.56
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Innovator Equity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Innovator Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Innovator Equity Buffer can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Understanding the Setup and Scalable Risk - Stock Traders Daily
The fund holds 209.59% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Innovator Equity Fundamentals Growth

Innovator Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Innovator Equity, and Innovator Equity fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Innovator Etf performance.
Total Asset115.94 M

About Innovator Equity Performance

By analyzing Innovator Equity's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Innovator Equity's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Innovator Equity has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Innovator Equity has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in FLexible EXchange Options that reference the SPDR SP 500 ETF Trust . Innovator is traded on BATS Exchange in the United States.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Understanding the Setup and Scalable Risk - Stock Traders Daily
The fund holds 209.59% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
When determining whether Innovator Equity Buffer is a strong investment it is important to analyze Innovator Equity's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Innovator Equity's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Innovator Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Innovator Equity Buffer. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Innovator Equity Buffer's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Innovator's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Innovator Equity's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since Innovator Equity's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Innovator Equity's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Innovator Equity should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Innovator Equity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.