The Global Alpha Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

BGASX Fund  USD 13.62  0.03  0.22%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.91, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Global Alpha returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Global Alpha is expected to follow.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days The Global Alpha has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Global Alpha is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Global Alpha Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,385  in The Global Alpha on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (23.00) from holding The Global Alpha or give up 1.66% of portfolio value over 90 days. The Global Alpha is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.9177% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 8% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Global, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Global Alpha is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.23 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Global Alpha Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
13.62
Please note that Global Alpha's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Global Alpha retains a regular Real Value of $13.52 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $13.62. We determine the value of Global Alpha from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Global Alpha is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Global Mutual Fund. However, Global Alpha's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  13.62 Real  13.52 Hype  13.62 Naive  13.48
The intrinsic value of Global Alpha's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Global Alpha's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
13.52
Real Value
14.43
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of The Global Alpha helps investors to forecast how Global mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Global Alpha more accurately as focusing exclusively on Global Alpha's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.1713.5113.85
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.7113.6214.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
12.5713.4814.39
Details

Global Alpha Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Global Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.62 90 days 13.62 
about 16.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Alpha to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 16.69 (This The Global Alpha probability density function shows the probability of Global Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Global Alpha has a beta of 0.91 suggesting The Global Alpha market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Global Alpha is expected to follow. Additionally The Global Alpha has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Global Alpha Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Global Alpha

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Alpha. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Alpha's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.7113.6214.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.6113.5214.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.5713.4814.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.1713.5113.85
Details

Global Alpha Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Alpha is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Alpha's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Global Alpha, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Alpha within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.91
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Global Alpha Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Alpha for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Alpha can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Alpha generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds 98.82% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Global Alpha Fundamentals Growth

Global Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Global Alpha, and Global Alpha fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Global Mutual Fund performance.

About Global Alpha Performance

Evaluating Global Alpha's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Global Alpha has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Global Alpha has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities. Baillie Gifford is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Global Alpha performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Alpha for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Global Alpha help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Alpha generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds 98.82% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Evaluating Global Alpha's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Global Alpha's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Global Alpha's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Global Alpha's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Global Alpha's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Global Alpha's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Global Alpha's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Global Alpha's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Global Alpha's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Global Alpha's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Global Alpha's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Global Mutual Fund

Global Alpha financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Alpha security.
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