Volatility Shares Trust Etf Performance

BITX Etf   24.97  3.13  11.14%   
The entity has a beta of 2.11, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Volatility Shares will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Volatility Shares Trust has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Etf's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the ETF investors. ...more

Volatility Shares Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,375  in Volatility Shares Trust on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,878) from holding Volatility Shares Trust or give up 42.93% of portfolio value over 90 days. Volatility Shares Trust is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.6467% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 50% of etfs are less volatile than Volatility, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Volatility Shares is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 7.51 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.14 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Volatility Shares Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Volatility Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 24.97 90 days 24.97 
about 90.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Volatility Shares to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.89 (This Volatility Shares Trust probability density function shows the probability of Volatility Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 2.11 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Volatility Shares will likely underperform. Additionally Volatility Shares Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Volatility Shares Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Volatility Shares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Volatility Shares Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Volatility Shares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.3324.9730.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.8324.4730.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.4324.0729.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.1529.3133.46
Details

Volatility Shares Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Volatility Shares is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Volatility Shares' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Volatility Shares Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Volatility Shares within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.97
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.11
σ
Overall volatility
4.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Volatility Shares Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Volatility Shares for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Volatility Shares Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Volatility Shares generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Volatility Shares has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Insiders Buying PhosCo Might Wish They Invested More, Stock Gains 10

About Volatility Shares Performance

Evaluating Volatility Shares' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Volatility Shares has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Volatility Shares has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Volatility Shares generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Volatility Shares has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Insiders Buying PhosCo Might Wish They Invested More, Stock Gains 10
When determining whether Volatility Shares Trust offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Volatility Shares' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Volatility Shares Trust Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Volatility Shares Trust Etf:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Volatility Shares Trust. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
The market value of Volatility Shares Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Volatility that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Volatility Shares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Volatility Shares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Volatility Shares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Volatility Shares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Volatility Shares' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Volatility Shares should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Volatility Shares' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.