Blackbaud Stock Performance

BLKB Stock  USD 55.25  0.52  0.95%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.79, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Blackbaud's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Blackbaud is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Blackbaud has a negative expected return of -0.28%. Please make sure to confirm Blackbaud's coefficient of variation, value at risk, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to decide if Blackbaud performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Blackbaud has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(3.68)
Five Day Return
(1.30)
Year To Date Return
(8.05)
Ten Year Return
(6.30)
All Time Return
540.12
Dividend Date
2020-03-13
Ex Dividend Date
2020-02-27
1
Disposition of tradable shares by Michael Gianoni of Blackbaud at 59.71 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/06/2025
2
Disposition of 1600 shares by Hollenbeck Rupal S of Blackbaud at 56.49 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/21/2025
3
Blackbaud showcases AI-powered innovation, workflows at product update briefing BLKB
11/24/2025
4
Salesforce Shares Gain 2 percent on Q3 Earnings Beat and FY26 Guidance Raise
12/04/2025
5
Why Blackbaud is a Top Growth Stock for the Long-Term
12/09/2025
6
Disposition of 849 shares by Michael Gianoni of Blackbaud at 62.2983 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
7
Blackbaud Assessing Valuation After New AI Partnership With Anthropic and Launch of Agents for Good
12/16/2025
8
Blackbaud extends CEO Michael Gianonis contract with amended agreement - Investing.com
12/22/2025
9
Acquisition by Anthony Boor of 11222 shares of Blackbaud subject to Rule 16b-3
12/26/2025
10
4.49 Bn Grant Management Software Market Trends, Strategies, and Opportunities, 2019-2024, 2024-2029F, 2034F
01/14/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow728.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-73.4 M

Blackbaud Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,592  in Blackbaud on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,119) from holding Blackbaud or give up 16.98% of portfolio value over 90 days. Blackbaud is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.2513% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 20% of stocks are less volatile than Blackbaud, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Blackbaud is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.98 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Blackbaud Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Blackbaud Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 55.25 90 days 55.25 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blackbaud to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Blackbaud probability density function shows the probability of Blackbaud Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Blackbaud has a beta of 0.79 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Blackbaud average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Blackbaud will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Blackbaud has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Blackbaud Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blackbaud

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackbaud. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.5354.7857.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.2663.6565.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
52.9055.1557.40
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
69.5276.4084.80
Details

Blackbaud Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blackbaud is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blackbaud's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blackbaud, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blackbaud within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.79
σ
Overall volatility
3.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Blackbaud Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blackbaud for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blackbaud can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blackbaud generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Blackbaud currently holds 1.11 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.38, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Blackbaud has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Blackbaud's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.16 B. Net Loss for the year was (283.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 661.61 M.
Over 100.0% of Blackbaud shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 4.49 Bn Grant Management Software Market Trends, Strategies, and Opportunities, 2019-2024, 2024-2029F, 2034F

Blackbaud Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blackbaud Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blackbaud's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blackbaud's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments67.6 M

Blackbaud Fundamentals Growth

Blackbaud Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Blackbaud, and Blackbaud fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Blackbaud Stock performance.

About Blackbaud Performance

By analyzing Blackbaud's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Blackbaud's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Blackbaud has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Blackbaud has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 361.40  379.47 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.28)(0.27)
Return On Capital Employed(0.25)(0.24)
Return On Assets(0.13)(0.12)
Return On Equity(1.79)(1.71)

Things to note about Blackbaud performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blackbaud for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Blackbaud help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blackbaud generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Blackbaud currently holds 1.11 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.38, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Blackbaud has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Blackbaud's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.16 B. Net Loss for the year was (283.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 661.61 M.
Over 100.0% of Blackbaud shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 4.49 Bn Grant Management Software Market Trends, Strategies, and Opportunities, 2019-2024, 2024-2029F, 2034F
Evaluating Blackbaud's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Blackbaud's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Blackbaud's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Blackbaud's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Blackbaud's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Blackbaud's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Blackbaud's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Blackbaud's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Blackbaud's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Blackbaud's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Blackbaud's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Blackbaud Stock analysis

When running Blackbaud's price analysis, check to measure Blackbaud's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blackbaud is operating at the current time. Most of Blackbaud's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blackbaud's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blackbaud's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blackbaud to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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