Blackbaud Valuation

BLKB Stock  USD 46.29  1.56  3.26%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Blackbaud shows a prevailing Real Value of $59.72 per share. The current price of the firm is $46.29. Our model approximates the value of Blackbaud from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of -0.77, and Profit Margin of (0.22) % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Blackbaud's valuation include:
Price Book
21.448
Enterprise Value
3.5 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
22.8955
Price Sales
2.0431
Forward PE
10.4822
Undervalued
Today
46.29
Please note that Blackbaud's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Blackbaud is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Blackbaud's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Blackbaud is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Blackbaud Stock. However, Blackbaud's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  46.29 Real  59.72 Target  76.4 Hype  46.63 Naive  46.39
The real value of Blackbaud Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Blackbaud Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Blackbaud's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Blackbaud's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
59.72
Real Value
62.05
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Blackbaud helps investors to forecast how Blackbaud stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Blackbaud more accurately as focusing exclusively on Blackbaud's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
1.161.221.27
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.3046.6348.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
44.0546.3948.72
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
69.5276.4084.80
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Blackbaud's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Blackbaud's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Blackbaud's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Blackbaud we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Blackbaud Cash

81.66 Million

Blackbaud Revenue by Product

Blackbaud Total Value Analysis

Blackbaud is currently forecasted to have valuation of 3.54 B with market capitalization of 2.32 B, debt of 1.11 B, and cash on hands of 29.03 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Blackbaud fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
3.54 B
2.32 B
1.11 B
29.03 M

Blackbaud Investor Information

About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.12. Blackbaud recorded a loss per share of 4.83. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of February 2020. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Blackbaud's historical financial statements, Blackbaud is not in a good financial situation at the present time. It has a very high chance of going through financial crunch in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities357.4 M340.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Blackbaud Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Blackbaud has an asset utilization ratio of 46.3 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.46 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Blackbaud is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Blackbaud Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Blackbaud's financial statements, Blackbaud may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at the present time. It has a very high chance of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Blackbaud's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2002-03-31
Previous Quarter
26 M
Current Value
47.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
35.6 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At present, Blackbaud's Gross Profit is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Gross Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.66, whereas Pretax Profit Margin is projected to grow to (0.29).
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.660.64
Sufficiently Up
Very volatile
For Blackbaud profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Blackbaud to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Blackbaud utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Blackbaud's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Blackbaud over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Blackbaud Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Blackbaud is estimated to be 1.2175 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.1575 to a high of 1.2675. Blackbaud's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -4.83. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Blackbaud is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Blackbaud is projected to generate 1.2175 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Blackbaud earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Blackbaud EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Blackbaud's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Blackbaud, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Blackbaud Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Blackbaud's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Blackbaud is estimated to be 1.2175 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.1575 to a high of 1.2675. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Blackbaud is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
1.16
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.2175
1.27
Highest

Blackbaud Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Blackbaud's value are higher than the current market price of the Blackbaud stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Blackbaud is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Blackbaud's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
587.39%
0.0
1.2175
-4.83

Blackbaud Ownership Allocation

Blackbaud holds a total of 47.83 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Blackbaud outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Blackbaud to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Blackbaud. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Blackbaud as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that nearly seven hundred twelve thousand seven hundred twenty-nine invesors are currently shorting Blackbaud expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Blackbaud Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.16 B. Net Loss for the year was (283.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 661.61 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Blackbaud's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Blackbaud and how it compares across the competition.

About Blackbaud Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Blackbaud's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Blackbaud. We calculate exposure to Blackbaud's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Blackbaud's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit735.1 M771.8 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.31)(0.29)
Operating Profit Margin(0.27)(0.26)
Net Loss(0.28)(0.27)
Gross Profit Margin 0.64  0.66 

Blackbaud Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y1.8
Forward Price Earnings10.4822

Blackbaud Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Blackbaud and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Blackbaud we look at many different elements of the entity such as Blackbaud's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Blackbaud, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Blackbaud's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Blackbaud's worth.

Complementary Tools for Blackbaud Stock analysis

When running Blackbaud's price analysis, check to measure Blackbaud's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blackbaud is operating at the current time. Most of Blackbaud's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blackbaud's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blackbaud's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blackbaud to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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