Vanguard Long Term Bond Etf Performance

BLV Etf  USD 71.07  0.31  0.44%   
The entity has a beta of 0.14, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Long's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Long is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Long Term Bond are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly stable essential indicators, Vanguard Long is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors. ...more
1
Absolute Capital Management LLC Purchases 2,077 Shares of Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF BLV
11/20/2025
2
Main Street Financial Solutions LLC Increases Stake in Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF BLV
12/12/2025
3
Strong Tower Advisory Services Has 17.30 Million Position in Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF BLV
12/24/2025
4
How Movements Inform Risk Allocation Models - Stock Traders Daily
02/12/2026

Vanguard Long Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,951  in Vanguard Long Term Bond on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  156.00  from holding Vanguard Long Term Bond or generate 2.24% return on investment over 90 days. Vanguard Long Term Bond is generating 0.0367% of daily returns assuming volatility of 0.4157% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 3% of etfs are less volatile than Vanguard, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vanguard Long is expected to generate 2.74 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.84 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Vanguard Long Term Bond extending back to April 10, 2007. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Vanguard Long stands at 71.07, as last reported on the 15th of February 2026, with the highest price reaching 71.14 and the lowest price hitting 70.97 during the day.
3 y Volatility
12.29
200 Day MA
69.5887
1 y Volatility
6.86
50 Day MA
69.8646
Inception Date
2007-04-03
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Vanguard Long Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vanguard Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 71.07 90 days 71.07 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Long to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vanguard Long Term Bond probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vanguard Long has a beta of 0.14 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Vanguard Long average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard Long Term Bond will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vanguard Long Term Bond has an alpha of 0.0098, implying that it can generate a 0.009752 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vanguard Long Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vanguard Long

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Long Term. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
70.6571.0771.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.3870.8071.22
Details

Vanguard Long Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Long is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Long's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Long Term Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Long within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Vanguard Long Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Long for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Long Term can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: How Movements Inform Risk Allocation Models - Stock Traders Daily
The fund generated five year return of -3.0%
Vanguard Long Term holds about 9.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Vanguard Long Fundamentals Growth

Vanguard Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vanguard Long, and Vanguard Long fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vanguard Etf performance.

About Vanguard Long Performance

Evaluating Vanguard Long's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Vanguard Long has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Vanguard Long has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
This index includes all medium and larger issues of U.S. government, investment-grade corporate, and investment-grade international dollar-denominated bonds that have maturities of greater than 10 years and are publicly issued. Long Term is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
Latest headline from news.google.com: How Movements Inform Risk Allocation Models - Stock Traders Daily
The fund generated five year return of -3.0%
Vanguard Long Term holds about 9.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
When determining whether Vanguard Long Term is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vanguard Long's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vanguard Long's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vanguard Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Vanguard Long Term Bond. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
The market value of Vanguard Long Term is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vanguard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vanguard Long's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vanguard Long's true underlying value. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. Because Vanguard Long's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vanguard Long's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Vanguard Long's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Vanguard Long should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Vanguard Long's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.