Commerce Bancshares Stock Performance
| CBSH Stock | USD 53.60 0.30 0.56% |
Commerce Bancshares has a performance score of 10 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.36, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Commerce Bancshares are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Commerce Bancshares is likely to outperform the market. Commerce Bancshares right now shows a risk of 1.23%. Please confirm Commerce Bancshares total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to decide if Commerce Bancshares will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Commerce Bancshares are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly weak basic indicators, Commerce Bancshares may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
| Commerce Bancshares dividend paid on 15th of December 2025 | 12/15/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 2.7 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 483.8 M |
Commerce Bancshares Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 4,865 in Commerce Bancshares on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 495.00 from holding Commerce Bancshares or generate 10.17% return on investment over 90 days. Commerce Bancshares is currently generating 0.1638% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.2254% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 11% of stocks are less volatile than Commerce, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Commerce Bancshares Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Commerce Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 53.60 | 90 days | 53.60 | about 31.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Commerce Bancshares to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 31.35 (This Commerce Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of Commerce Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Commerce Bancshares Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Commerce Bancshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Commerce Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Commerce Bancshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Commerce Bancshares Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Commerce Bancshares is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Commerce Bancshares' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Commerce Bancshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Commerce Bancshares within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Commerce Bancshares Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Commerce Bancshares for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Commerce Bancshares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Commerce Bancshares Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Commerce Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Commerce Bancshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Commerce Bancshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 138.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.9 B |
Commerce Bancshares Fundamentals Growth
Commerce Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Commerce Bancshares, and Commerce Bancshares fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Commerce Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0176 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.33 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.43 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 5.96 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 147.36 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 20.35 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.09 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 4.61 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.14 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 731.84 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.32 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 19.40 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 3 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.04 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 27.58 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 577.86 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 4.04 X | ||||
| Total Asset | 32.92 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 131.83 M | ||||
About Commerce Bancshares Performance
By evaluating Commerce Bancshares' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Commerce Bancshares' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Commerce Bancshares has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Commerce Bancshares has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Commerce Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Commerce Bank that provides retail, mortgage banking, corporate, investment, trust, and asset management products and services to individuals and businesses in the United States. Commerce Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri. Commerce Bancshares operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 4595 people.Things to note about Commerce Bancshares performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Commerce Bancshares for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Commerce Bancshares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
- Analyzing Commerce Bancshares' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Commerce Bancshares' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Commerce Bancshares' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Commerce Bancshares' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Commerce Bancshares' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Commerce Bancshares' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Commerce Bancshares' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Commerce Stock analysis
When running Commerce Bancshares' price analysis, check to measure Commerce Bancshares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Commerce Bancshares is operating at the current time. Most of Commerce Bancshares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Commerce Bancshares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Commerce Bancshares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Commerce Bancshares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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