Cardiff Oncology Stock Performance

CRDF Stock  USD 1.60  0.02  1.27%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.57, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Cardiff Oncology will likely underperform. At this point, Cardiff Oncology has a negative expected return of -0.17%. Please make sure to confirm Cardiff Oncology's kurtosis, and the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Cardiff Oncology performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Cardiff Oncology has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:6
Dividend Date
2019-02-20
Last Split Date
2019-02-20
1
Cardiff Oncology to Present at the Piper Sandler 37th Annual Healthcare Conference
11/24/2025
2
How Cardiff Oncology Inc. stock stacks up against competitors - July 2025 Selloffs Reliable Trade Execution Plans - Newser
12/04/2025
3
Cardiff Oncology to Present at Sidotis Year-End Virtual Investor Conference
12/08/2025
4
Cardiff Oncology, Inc. Given Average Rating of Hold by Brokerages - MarketBeat
12/17/2025
5
Stock Traders Purchase High Volume of Cardiff Oncology Call Options
12/23/2025
6
Analysts Offer Predictions for CRDF FY2025 Earnings - MarketBeat
01/06/2026
7
Cardiff Oncology What Storms Can We Expect In 2026 The Case For Measured Enthusiasm - Seeking Alpha
01/13/2026
8
Insider Trading
01/27/2026
9
Cardiff Oncology Valuation Check After New Onvansertib Phase 2 Data And Leadership Changes
01/29/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow21.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities13.7 M

Cardiff Oncology Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  206.00  in Cardiff Oncology on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (46.00) from holding Cardiff Oncology or give up 22.33% of portfolio value over 90 days. Cardiff Oncology is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 6.5486% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 58% of stocks are less volatile than Cardiff, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cardiff Oncology is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 8.57 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Cardiff Oncology Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Cardiff Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.60 90 days 1.60 
about 92.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cardiff Oncology to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.93 (This Cardiff Oncology probability density function shows the probability of Cardiff Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.57 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cardiff Oncology will likely underperform. Additionally Cardiff Oncology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cardiff Oncology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cardiff Oncology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cardiff Oncology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cardiff Oncology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.608.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.193.7310.28
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.3310.2511.38
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.24-0.19-0.14
Details

Cardiff Oncology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cardiff Oncology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cardiff Oncology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cardiff Oncology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cardiff Oncology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.57
σ
Overall volatility
0.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Cardiff Oncology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cardiff Oncology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cardiff Oncology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cardiff Oncology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cardiff Oncology has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cardiff Oncology may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 683 K. Net Loss for the year was (45.43 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (39.47 M).
Cardiff Oncology currently holds about 122.01 M in cash with (37.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.82, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Cardiff Oncology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading

Cardiff Oncology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cardiff Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cardiff Oncology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cardiff Oncology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments91.7 M

Cardiff Oncology Fundamentals Growth

Cardiff Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cardiff Oncology, and Cardiff Oncology fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cardiff Stock performance.

About Cardiff Oncology Performance

By analyzing Cardiff Oncology's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Cardiff Oncology's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Cardiff Oncology has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Cardiff Oncology has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand-11.9 K-11.3 K
Return On Tangible Assets(0.42)(0.44)
Return On Capital Employed(0.67)(0.63)
Return On Assets(0.42)(0.44)
Return On Equity(0.63)(0.66)

Things to note about Cardiff Oncology performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cardiff Oncology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cardiff Oncology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cardiff Oncology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cardiff Oncology has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cardiff Oncology may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 683 K. Net Loss for the year was (45.43 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (39.47 M).
Cardiff Oncology currently holds about 122.01 M in cash with (37.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.82, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Cardiff Oncology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading
Evaluating Cardiff Oncology's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cardiff Oncology's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Cardiff Oncology's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cardiff Oncology's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cardiff Oncology's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cardiff Oncology's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cardiff Oncology's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cardiff Oncology's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cardiff Oncology's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cardiff Oncology's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cardiff Oncology's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Cardiff Stock analysis

When running Cardiff Oncology's price analysis, check to measure Cardiff Oncology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cardiff Oncology is operating at the current time. Most of Cardiff Oncology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cardiff Oncology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cardiff Oncology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cardiff Oncology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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