Cosan Sa Adr Stock Performance

CSAN Stock  USD 4.68  0.13  2.86%   
Cosan SA has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.34, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Cosan SA will likely underperform. Cosan SA ADR right now shows a risk of 3.37%. Please confirm Cosan SA ADR maximum drawdown, accumulation distribution, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and day typical price , to decide if Cosan SA ADR will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cosan SA ADR are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Cosan SA is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.86
Five Day Return
11.69
Year To Date Return
19.08
Ten Year Return
(70.29)
All Time Return
(70.29)
Last Split Factor
4:1
Dividend Date
2024-07-08
Ex Dividend Date
2024-06-10
Last Split Date
2021-05-11
1
Cosan Q3 Earnings Snapshot
11/14/2025
2
Cosan S.A. Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
11/18/2025
3
Simulations Plus Posts Strong Q4 Results, Joins Credo Technology Group, United Natural Foods, Boeing And Other Big Stocks Moving Higher On Tuesday - Benzinga
12/02/2025
4
Reviewing Crescent Energy Cosan
12/16/2025
5
Cosan S.A. Sponsored ADR Receives Consensus Recommendation of Reduce from Analysts - MarketBeat
12/31/2025
6
Cosan S.A. Sponsored ADR Given Consensus Recommendation of Reduce by Analysts
01/05/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow14.7 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-4.5 B

Cosan SA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  459.00  in Cosan SA ADR on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  9.00  from holding Cosan SA ADR or generate 1.96% return on investment over 90 days. Cosan SA ADR is currently generating 0.0884% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.3706% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 30% of stocks are less volatile than Cosan, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cosan SA is expected to generate 4.47 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.47 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Cosan SA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Cosan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.68 90 days 4.68 
about 31.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cosan SA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 31.25 (This Cosan SA ADR probability density function shows the probability of Cosan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.34 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cosan SA will likely underperform. Additionally Cosan SA ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cosan SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cosan SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cosan SA ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.314.688.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.543.917.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.434.808.16
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.955.446.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cosan SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cosan SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cosan SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cosan SA ADR.

Cosan SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cosan SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cosan SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cosan SA ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cosan SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0009
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Cosan SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cosan SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cosan SA ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cosan SA ADR had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Cosan SA ADR has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 43.95 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.42 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 13.6 B.
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Cosan S.A. Sponsored ADR Given Consensus Recommendation of Reduce by Analysts

Cosan SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cosan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cosan SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cosan SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding465.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments20.2 B

Cosan SA Fundamentals Growth

Cosan Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cosan SA, and Cosan SA fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cosan Stock performance.

About Cosan SA Performance

By examining Cosan SA's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Cosan SA's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Cosan SA is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 28.78  46.89 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.07)(0.07)
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.04 
Return On Assets(0.08)(0.07)
Return On Equity(0.99)(0.94)

Things to note about Cosan SA ADR performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cosan SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cosan SA ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cosan SA ADR had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Cosan SA ADR has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 43.95 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.42 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 13.6 B.
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Cosan S.A. Sponsored ADR Given Consensus Recommendation of Reduce by Analysts
Evaluating Cosan SA's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cosan SA's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Cosan SA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cosan SA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cosan SA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cosan SA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cosan SA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cosan SA's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cosan SA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cosan SA's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cosan SA's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Cosan SA ADR offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cosan SA's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cosan Sa Adr Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cosan Sa Adr Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Cosan SA ADR. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Will Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector continue expanding? Could Cosan diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cosan SA. Projected growth potential of Cosan fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Cosan SA data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.57)
Earnings Share
(5.44)
Revenue Per Share
91.564
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
Return On Assets
0.0497
The market value of Cosan SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cosan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cosan SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cosan SA's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Cosan SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cosan SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Cosan SA's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cosan SA should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Cosan SA's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.