Commercial Vehicle Group Stock Performance

CVGI Stock  USD 1.63  0.15  10.14%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Commercial Vehicle holds a performance score of 4. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.66, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Commercial Vehicle will likely underperform. Please check Commercial Vehicle's total risk alpha, expected short fall, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Commercial Vehicle's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Commercial Vehicle Group are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly uncertain technical and fundamental indicators, Commercial Vehicle demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
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Begin Period Cash Flow37.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities30.9 M

Commercial Vehicle Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  150.00  in Commercial Vehicle Group on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  13.00  from holding Commercial Vehicle Group or generate 8.67% return on investment over 90 days. Commercial Vehicle Group is currently generating 0.2199% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.1567% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 37% of stocks are less volatile than Commercial, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Commercial Vehicle is expected to generate 5.07 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.07 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Commercial Vehicle Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Commercial Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.63 90 days 1.63 
about 34.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Commercial Vehicle to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 34.46 (This Commercial Vehicle Group probability density function shows the probability of Commercial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.66 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Commercial Vehicle will likely underperform. Additionally Commercial Vehicle Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Commercial Vehicle Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Commercial Vehicle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Commercial Vehicle. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.615.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.166.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.455.55
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.644.004.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Commercial Vehicle. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Commercial Vehicle's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Commercial Vehicle's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Commercial Vehicle.

Commercial Vehicle Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Commercial Vehicle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Commercial Vehicle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Commercial Vehicle Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Commercial Vehicle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.66
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Commercial Vehicle Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Commercial Vehicle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Commercial Vehicle can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Commercial Vehicle may become a speculative penny stock
Commercial Vehicle had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 723.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (27.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 71.04 M.
Commercial Vehicle Group currently holds about 28.5 M in cash with (33.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.85.
Commercial Vehicle has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from stockstory.org: ChargePoint, Columbus McKinnon, Ameresco, Commercial Vehicle Group, and EVgo Shares Are Soaring, What You Need To Know

Commercial Vehicle Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Commercial Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Commercial Vehicle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Commercial Vehicle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments26.6 M

Commercial Vehicle Fundamentals Growth

Commercial Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Commercial Vehicle, and Commercial Vehicle fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Commercial Stock performance.

About Commercial Vehicle Performance

By evaluating Commercial Vehicle's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Commercial Vehicle's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Commercial Vehicle has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Commercial Vehicle has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 65.71  39.03 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.06)(0.06)
Return On Assets(0.06)(0.06)
Return On Equity(0.18)(0.19)

Things to note about Commercial Vehicle performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Commercial Vehicle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Commercial Vehicle help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Commercial Vehicle may become a speculative penny stock
Commercial Vehicle had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 723.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (27.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 71.04 M.
Commercial Vehicle Group currently holds about 28.5 M in cash with (33.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.85.
Commercial Vehicle has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from stockstory.org: ChargePoint, Columbus McKinnon, Ameresco, Commercial Vehicle Group, and EVgo Shares Are Soaring, What You Need To Know
Evaluating Commercial Vehicle's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Commercial Vehicle's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Commercial Vehicle's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Commercial Vehicle's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Commercial Vehicle's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Commercial Vehicle's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Commercial Vehicle's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Commercial Vehicle's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Commercial Vehicle's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Commercial Vehicle's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Commercial Vehicle's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Commercial Vehicle's price analysis, check to measure Commercial Vehicle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Commercial Vehicle is operating at the current time. Most of Commercial Vehicle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Commercial Vehicle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Commercial Vehicle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Commercial Vehicle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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