Invesco Db Oil Etf Performance

DBO Etf  USD 13.51  0.21  1.53%   
The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.42, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Invesco DB's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Invesco DB is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Invesco DB Oil are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak fundamental drivers, Invesco DB may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
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ASX 200 Pauses as Energy Lifts Confidence in Early Trade
01/14/2026

Invesco DB Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,262  in Invesco DB Oil on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  89.00  from holding Invesco DB Oil or generate 7.05% return on investment over 90 days. Invesco DB Oil is generating 0.129% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.8655% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 16% of etfs are less volatile than Invesco, and above 98% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Invesco DB is expected to generate 2.28 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.28 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Invesco DB Oil extending back to January 05, 2007. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Invesco DB stands at 13.51, as last reported on the 7th of February, with the highest price reaching 13.63 and the lowest price hitting 13.39 during the day.
3 y Volatility
19.76
200 Day MA
13.1256
1 y Volatility
22.39
50 Day MA
12.7432
Inception Date
2007-01-05
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Invesco DB Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Invesco Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.51 90 days 13.51 
roughly 2.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco DB to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.63 (This Invesco DB Oil probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Invesco DB has a beta of 0.42 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Invesco DB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco DB Oil will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco DB Oil has an alpha of 0.0565, implying that it can generate a 0.0565 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Invesco DB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco DB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco DB Oil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.6013.4715.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4713.3415.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.6713.5315.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.2313.5413.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invesco DB. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invesco DB's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invesco DB's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Invesco DB Oil.

Invesco DB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco DB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco DB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco DB Oil, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco DB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Invesco DB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco DB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco DB Oil can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: ASX 200 Pauses as Energy Lifts Confidence in Early Trade
The fund generated three year return of -2.0%
Invesco DB Oil retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Invesco DB Fundamentals Growth

Invesco Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Invesco DB, and Invesco DB fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Invesco Etf performance.

About Invesco DB Performance

By examining Invesco DB's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Invesco DB's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Invesco DB is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
The single index Commodity consists of Light, Sweet Crude Oil . DB Oil is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: ASX 200 Pauses as Energy Lifts Confidence in Early Trade
The fund generated three year return of -2.0%
Invesco DB Oil retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments
When determining whether Invesco DB Oil offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Invesco DB's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Invesco Db Oil Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Invesco Db Oil Etf:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Invesco DB Oil. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Invesco DB Oil's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Invesco's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Invesco DB's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Invesco DB's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Invesco DB's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Invesco DB should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Invesco DB's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.