First Trust Exchange Traded Etf Performance

DDEC Etf  USD 45.38  0.05  0.11%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0068, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First Trust is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust Exchange Traded are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
1
Discipline and Rules-Based Execution in DDEC Response - news.stocktradersdaily.com
11/20/2025
2
How Movements Inform Risk Allocation Models - Stock Traders Daily
12/23/2025
3
and the Role of Price-Sensitive Allocations - Stock Traders Daily
01/26/2026

First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,393  in First Trust Exchange Traded on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  145.00  from holding First Trust Exchange Traded or generate 3.3% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust Exchange Traded is currently generating 0.0547% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.3402% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 3% of etfs are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust is expected to generate 1.87 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 2.28 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Exchange Traded extending back to December 21, 2020. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 45.38, as last reported on the 13th of February 2026, with the highest price reaching 45.57 and the lowest price hitting 45.37 during the day.
3 y Volatility
6.14
200 Day MA
43.0584
1 y Volatility
6.01
50 Day MA
45.1368
Inception Date
2020-12-18
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 45.38 90 days 45.38 
about 18.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 18.26 (This First Trust Exchange Traded probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust Exchange Traded has a beta of -0.0068 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First Trust Exchange Traded is likely to outperform the market. Additionally First Trust Exchange Traded has an alpha of 0.0396, implying that it can generate a 0.0396 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust Exchange. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.0545.3945.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.3744.7149.92
Details

First Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust Exchange Traded, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0068
σ
Overall volatility
0.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

First Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust Exchange can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: and the Role of Price-Sensitive Allocations - Stock Traders Daily
The fund retains 99.08% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.
Total Asset256.85 M

About First Trust Performance

By analyzing First Trust's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First Trust's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First Trust has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Trust has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Under normal market conditions, the fund will invest substantially all of its assets in FLexible EXchange Options that reference the price performance of the SPDR SP 500 ETF Trust . FT CBOE is traded on BATS Exchange in the United States.
Latest headline from news.google.com: and the Role of Price-Sensitive Allocations - Stock Traders Daily
The fund retains 99.08% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
When determining whether First Trust Exchange is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if First Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about First Trust Exchange Traded Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about First Trust Exchange Traded Etf:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust Exchange Traded. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in discontinued.
You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Investors evaluate First Trust Exchange using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating First Trust's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause First Trust's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between First Trust's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding First Trust should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, First Trust's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.