Direxion Daily Aerospace Etf Performance
| DFEN Etf | USD 79.47 0.37 0.46% |
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.96, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Direxion Daily will likely underperform.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Direxion Daily Aerospace are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very abnormal technical and fundamental indicators, Direxion Daily displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
1 | Direxion Daily Aerospace Defense Bull 3X Shares Raises Dividend to 5.55 Per Share | 12/10/2025 |
Direxion | Build AI portfolio with Direxion Etf |
Direxion Daily Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 6,333 in Direxion Daily Aerospace on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 1,614 from holding Direxion Daily Aerospace or generate 25.49% return on investment over 90 days. Direxion Daily Aerospace is currently generating 0.4494% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.9517% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 35% of etfs are less volatile than Direxion, and 91% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
3 y Volatility 51.05 | 200 Day MA 57.9659 | 1 y Volatility 52.99 | 50 Day MA 69.586 | Inception Date 2017-05-03 |
Direxion Daily Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Direxion Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 79.47 | 90 days | 79.47 | about 13.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Direxion Daily to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 13.49 (This Direxion Daily Aerospace probability density function shows the probability of Direxion Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 2.96 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Direxion Daily will likely underperform. Additionally Direxion Daily Aerospace has an alpha of 0.1517, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Direxion Daily Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Direxion Daily
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Direxion Daily Aerospace. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Direxion Daily's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Direxion Daily Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Direxion Daily is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Direxion Daily's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Direxion Daily Aerospace, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Direxion Daily within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.96 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Direxion Daily Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Direxion Daily for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Direxion Daily Aerospace can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Direxion Daily had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Direxion Daily Fundamentals Growth
Direxion Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Direxion Daily, and Direxion Daily fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Direxion Etf performance.
| Total Asset | 123.53 M | |||
About Direxion Daily Performance
By examining Direxion Daily's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Direxion Daily's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Direxion Daily is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in financial instruments, such as swap agreements, and securities of the index, ETFs that track the index and other financial instruments that provide daily leveraged exposure to the index or ETFs that track the index. Aerospace Defense is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.| Direxion Daily had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Direxion Daily Aerospace. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Investors evaluate Direxion Daily Aerospace using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Direxion Daily's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Direxion Daily's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Direxion Daily's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Direxion Daily should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Direxion Daily's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.