Darden Restaurants Stock Performance

DRI Stock  USD 200.90  1.55  0.78%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Darden Restaurants holds a performance score of 9. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.97, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Darden Restaurants returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Darden Restaurants is expected to follow. Please check Darden Restaurants' treynor ratio, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Darden Restaurants' price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Darden Restaurants are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly abnormal basic indicators, Darden Restaurants demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.78
Five Day Return
(0.02)
Year To Date Return
7.31
Ten Year Return
223.25
All Time Return
3.4 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0299
Payout Ratio
0.6002
Forward Dividend Rate
6
Dividend Date
2026-02-02
Ex Dividend Date
2026-01-09
1
Darden Reports Earnings Tomorrow What To Expect
12/17/2025
2
DRI Q4 Deep Dive Menu Innovation and Delivery Offset Cost Pressures, Guidance Maintained
12/19/2025
3
Disposition of 500 shares by Rajesh Vennam of Darden Restaurants subject to Rule 16b-3
12/29/2025
4
Disposition of 486 shares by John Madonna of Darden Restaurants subject to Rule 16b-3
12/30/2025
5
Disposition of 1200 shares by M Martin of Darden Restaurants at 197.47 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/06/2026
6
Disposition of 2635 shares by Susan Connelly of Darden Restaurants at 207.36 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/14/2026
7
Recipe Restaurant Group International Announces Next Phase of Olive Garden Expansion in Canada
01/15/2026
8
Olive Garden is returning to Ontario and the first GTA location opens this summer
01/20/2026
9
Disposition of 4405 shares by Sarah King of Darden Restaurants at 206.6243 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/22/2026
10
A Look At Darden Restaurants Valuation After Recent Mixed Share Price Performance
01/23/2026
11
Questexs Vibe Conference Announces Finalists for 2026 Jim Flaherty Industry Legend Award and Innovator Award
01/26/2026
12
Darden Restaurants, Inc. DRI Stake Lowered by Great Lakes Advisors LLC
01/29/2026
 
Darden Restaurants dividend paid on 2nd of February 2026
02/02/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow220.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.3 B

Darden Restaurants Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  17,877  in Darden Restaurants on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,213  from holding Darden Restaurants or generate 12.38% return on investment over 90 days. Darden Restaurants is generating 0.2091% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.7133% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Darden, and above 96% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Darden Restaurants is expected to generate 2.26 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.26 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of risk.

Darden Restaurants Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Darden Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 200.90 90 days 200.90 
about 12.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Darden Restaurants to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.3 (This Darden Restaurants probability density function shows the probability of Darden Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Darden Restaurants has a beta of 0.97 suggesting Darden Restaurants market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Darden Restaurants is expected to follow. Additionally Darden Restaurants has an alpha of 0.1263, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Darden Restaurants Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Darden Restaurants

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Darden Restaurants. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
199.20200.90202.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
180.81215.70217.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
186.39188.09189.79
Details
31 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
202.37222.38246.84
Details

Darden Restaurants Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Darden Restaurants is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Darden Restaurants' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Darden Restaurants, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Darden Restaurants within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.97
σ
Overall volatility
12.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Darden Restaurants Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Darden Restaurants for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Darden Restaurants can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Darden Restaurants has 6.23 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.89, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Darden Restaurants has a current ratio of 0.51, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Darden to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
Over 96.0% of Darden Restaurants shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 2nd of February 2026 Darden Restaurants paid $ 1.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Best Restaurant Stocks To Add to Your Watchlist February 1st

Darden Restaurants Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Darden Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Darden Restaurants' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Darden Restaurants' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding118.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments240 M

Darden Restaurants Fundamentals Growth

Darden Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Darden Restaurants, and Darden Restaurants fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Darden Stock performance.

About Darden Restaurants Performance

By evaluating Darden Restaurants' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Darden Restaurants' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Darden Restaurants has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Darden Restaurants has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 12.54  18.69 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.12  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.14  0.17 
Return On Assets 0.10  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.45  0.47 

Things to note about Darden Restaurants performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Darden Restaurants for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Darden Restaurants help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Darden Restaurants has 6.23 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.89, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Darden Restaurants has a current ratio of 0.51, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Darden to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
Over 96.0% of Darden Restaurants shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 2nd of February 2026 Darden Restaurants paid $ 1.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Best Restaurant Stocks To Add to Your Watchlist February 1st
Evaluating Darden Restaurants' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Darden Restaurants' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Darden Restaurants' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Darden Restaurants' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Darden Restaurants' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Darden Restaurants' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Darden Restaurants' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Darden Restaurants' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Darden Restaurants' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Darden Restaurants' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Darden Restaurants' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Darden Stock analysis

When running Darden Restaurants' price analysis, check to measure Darden Restaurants' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Darden Restaurants is operating at the current time. Most of Darden Restaurants' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Darden Restaurants' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Darden Restaurants' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Darden Restaurants to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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