Darden Restaurants Stock Price Patterns

DRI Stock  USD 216.08  3.86  1.82%   
The relative strength indicator of Darden Restaurants' stock price is under 60 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 5th of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Darden, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 60

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Darden Restaurants' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Darden Restaurants, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Darden Restaurants' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.118
EPS Estimate Current Year
10.5903
EPS Estimate Next Year
11.3976
Wall Street Target Price
222.3793
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
2.0972
Using Darden Restaurants hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Darden Restaurants from the perspective of Darden Restaurants response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Darden Restaurants using Darden Restaurants' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Darden using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Darden Restaurants' stock price.

Darden Restaurants Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Darden Restaurants' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Darden. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Darden Restaurants stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
198.9684
Short Percent
0.0766
Short Ratio
3.24
Shares Short Prior Month
3.7 M
50 Day MA
191.9078

Darden Restaurants Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Darden Restaurants' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Darden. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Darden can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Darden Restaurants. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Darden Restaurants' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Darden Restaurants.

Darden Restaurants Implied Volatility

    
  0.37  
Darden Restaurants' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Darden Restaurants stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Darden Restaurants' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Darden Restaurants stock will not fluctuate a lot when Darden Restaurants' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Darden Restaurants to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Darden because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Darden Restaurants after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 211.12  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Darden contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Darden Restaurants will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0231% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Darden Restaurants trading at USD 216.08, that is roughly USD 0.05 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Darden Restaurants' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Darden Restaurants options at the current volatility level of 0.37%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Darden Restaurants Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Darden Stock please use our How to Invest in Darden Restaurants guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
191.00230.06231.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
203.71205.47207.24
Details
31 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
202.37222.38246.84
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.872.953.10
Details

Darden Restaurants After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Darden Restaurants at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Darden Restaurants or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Darden Restaurants, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Darden Restaurants Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Darden Restaurants' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Darden Restaurants' historical news coverage. Darden Restaurants' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 209.36 and 212.88, respectively. We have considered Darden Restaurants' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
216.08
209.36
Downside
211.12
After-hype Price
212.88
Upside
Darden Restaurants is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Darden Restaurants is based on 3 months time horizon.

Darden Restaurants Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Darden Restaurants is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Darden Restaurants backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Darden Restaurants, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.32 
1.76
  1.10 
  8.99 
10 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
216.08
211.12
0.52 
51.31  
Notes

Darden Restaurants Hype Timeline

On the 5th of February Darden Restaurants is traded for 216.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 8.99. Darden is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 211.12. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 51.31%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.52%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Darden Restaurants is about 6.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 225.07. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.85. Darden Restaurants recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.53. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of January 2026. The firm had 10000:8939 split on the 10th of November 2015. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Darden Restaurants Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Darden Stock please use our How to Invest in Darden Restaurants guide.

Darden Restaurants Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Darden Restaurants' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Darden Restaurants' future price movements. Getting to know how Darden Restaurants' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Darden Restaurants may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
QSRRestaurant Brands International(0.24)9 per month 0.98  0.01  2.23 (1.84) 6.22 
LILi Auto 0.04 11 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.90 (3.27) 8.72 
YUMCYum China Holdings 0.75 10 per month 1.04  0.16  2.77 (2.13) 5.51 
NVRNVR Inc 272.58 8 per month 0.95  0.07  3.15 (1.92) 5.61 
DPZDominos Pizza Common 1.16 7 per month 1.38 (0.04) 2.68 (2.15) 6.97 
ULTAUlta Beauty(1.17)8 per month 1.14  0.18  2.81 (2.03) 16.26 
RLRalph Lauren Corp(0.65)7 per month 1.30  0.06  3.09 (2.19) 7.40 
WSMWilliams Sonoma 8.54 9 per month 1.68  0.04  3.67 (2.83) 7.84 
IHGInterContinental Hotels Group(0.25)11 per month 1.16  0.11  3.42 (2.04) 8.23 
SWSmurfit WestRock plc 0.28 8 per month 1.35  0.13  4.85 (2.61) 10.83 

Darden Restaurants Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Darden price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Darden using various technical indicators. When you analyze Darden charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Darden Restaurants Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Darden Restaurants stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Darden Restaurants, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Darden Restaurants based on analysis of Darden Restaurants hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Darden Restaurants's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Darden Restaurants's related companies.
 2010 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02750.03050.0166
Price To Sales Ratio1.991.841.93

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When running Darden Restaurants' price analysis, check to measure Darden Restaurants' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Darden Restaurants is operating at the current time. Most of Darden Restaurants' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Darden Restaurants' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Darden Restaurants' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Darden Restaurants to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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