Direxion Daily Real Etf Performance

DRN Etf  USD 10.44  0.42  4.19%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.41, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Direxion Daily will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Direxion Daily Real are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very fragile basic indicators, Direxion Daily displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
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Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X Shares DRN Shares Sold by Simplex Trading LLC
11/17/2025

Direxion Daily Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  858.00  in Direxion Daily Real on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  186.00  from holding Direxion Daily Real or generate 21.68% return on investment over 90 days. Direxion Daily Real is generating 0.3476% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.275% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 20% of etfs are less volatile than Direxion, and above 93% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Direxion Daily is expected to generate 2.95 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.95 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Direxion Daily Real extending back to July 16, 2009. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Direxion Daily stands at 10.44, as last reported on the 13th of February 2026, with the highest price reaching 10.56 and the lowest price hitting 10.02 during the day.
3 y Volatility
49.08
200 Day MA
9.3399
1 y Volatility
23.87
50 Day MA
8.8368
Inception Date
2009-07-16
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Direxion Daily Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Direxion Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.44 90 days 10.44 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Direxion Daily to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Direxion Daily Real probability density function shows the probability of Direxion Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.41 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Direxion Daily will likely underperform. Additionally Direxion Daily Real has an alpha of 0.1635, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Direxion Daily Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Direxion Daily

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Direxion Daily Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.1610.4412.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.8910.1712.45
Details

Direxion Daily Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Direxion Daily is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Direxion Daily's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Direxion Daily Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Direxion Daily within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.44
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Direxion Daily Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Direxion Daily for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Direxion Daily Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
This fund generated0.0 ten year return of 0.0%

Direxion Daily Fundamentals Growth

Direxion Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Direxion Daily, and Direxion Daily fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Direxion Etf performance.

About Direxion Daily Performance

By examining Direxion Daily's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Direxion Daily's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Direxion Daily is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in financial instruments, such as swap agreements, securities of the index, and ETFs that track the index and other financial instruments that provide daily leveraged exposure to the index or to ETFs that track the index. Real Estate is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
This fund generated0.0 ten year return of 0.0%
When determining whether Direxion Daily Real is a strong investment it is important to analyze Direxion Daily's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Direxion Daily's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Direxion Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Direxion Daily Real. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Understanding Direxion Daily Real requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Direxion's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Direxion Daily's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Direxion Daily's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Direxion Daily's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Direxion Daily should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Direxion Daily's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.