Ellington Residential Mortgage Stock Performance

EARN Stock  USD 5.22  0.04  0.76%   
Ellington Residential has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.23, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ellington Residential are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ellington Residential is likely to outperform the market. Ellington Residential right now shows a risk of 1.28%. Please confirm Ellington Residential downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if Ellington Residential will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ellington Residential Mortgage are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Ellington Residential is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
 
Ellington Residential dividend paid on 28th of November 2025
11/28/2025
 
Ellington Residential dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
 
Ellington Residential dividend paid on 30th of January 2026
01/30/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow38.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities116.4 M
Free Cash Flow9.1 M

Ellington Residential Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  495.00  in Ellington Residential Mortgage on November 18, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  28.00  from holding Ellington Residential Mortgage or generate 5.66% return on investment over 90 days. Ellington Residential Mortgage is currently generating 0.0968% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.278% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 11% of stocks are less volatile than Ellington, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ellington Residential is expected to generate 1.24 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.69 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of volatility.

Ellington Residential Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ellington Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.22 90 days 5.22 
about 54.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ellington Residential to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 54.42 (This Ellington Residential Mortgage probability density function shows the probability of Ellington Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ellington Residential Mortgage has a beta of -0.23 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ellington Residential are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ellington Residential Mortgage is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ellington Residential Mortgage has an alpha of 0.1009, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ellington Residential Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ellington Residential

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ellington Residential. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.945.226.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.124.405.68
Details

Ellington Residential Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ellington Residential is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ellington Residential's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ellington Residential Mortgage, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ellington Residential within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Ellington Residential Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ellington Residential for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ellington Residential can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ellington Residential has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Ellington Residential Mortgage currently holds 562.97 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 8.04, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ellington Residential has a current ratio of 0.17, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ellington Residential's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
On 30th of January 2026 Ellington Residential paid $ 0.08 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Ellington Residential Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ellington Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ellington Residential's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ellington Residential's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments31.8 M

Ellington Residential Fundamentals Growth

Ellington Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ellington Residential, and Ellington Residential fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ellington Stock performance.

About Ellington Residential Performance

By examining Ellington Residential's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Ellington Residential's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Ellington Residential is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT, a real estate investment trust, specializes in acquiring, investing in, and managing residential mortgage-and real estate-related assets. Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Old Greenwich, Connecticut. Ellington Residential is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Ellington Residential performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ellington Residential for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ellington Residential help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ellington Residential has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Ellington Residential Mortgage currently holds 562.97 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 8.04, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ellington Residential has a current ratio of 0.17, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ellington Residential's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
On 30th of January 2026 Ellington Residential paid $ 0.08 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Evaluating Ellington Residential's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ellington Residential's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ellington Residential's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ellington Residential's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ellington Residential's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ellington Residential's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ellington Residential's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ellington Residential's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ellington Residential's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ellington Residential's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ellington Residential's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Ellington Residential offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ellington Residential's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ellington Residential Mortgage Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ellington Residential Mortgage Stock:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ellington Residential Mortgage. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Will Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector continue expanding? Could Ellington diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ellington Residential. Projected growth potential of Ellington fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Ellington Residential data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Ellington Residential requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Ellington's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Ellington Residential's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Ellington Residential's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Ellington Residential's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Ellington Residential should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Ellington Residential's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.