Federated Emerging Market Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

EMDIX Fund  USD 9.20  0.01  0.11%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0756, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Federated Emerging's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Federated Emerging is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

High

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Federated Emerging Market are ranked lower than 31 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Federated Emerging is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date31st of January 2025
Expense Ratio0.9400
  

Federated Emerging Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  880.00  in Federated Emerging Market on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  40.00  from holding Federated Emerging Market or generate 4.55% return on investment over 90 days. Federated Emerging Market is currently producing 0.0731% returns and takes up 0.1842% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Federated, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Federated Emerging is expected to generate 0.25 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.05 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.4 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Federated Emerging Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
9.20
Please note that Federated Emerging's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Federated Emerging Market shows a prevailing Real Value of $8.28 per share. The current price of the fund is $9.2. We determine the value of Federated Emerging Market from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since Federated Emerging is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Federated Mutual Fund. However, Federated Emerging's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.2 Real  8.28 Hype  9.2 Naive  9.27
The intrinsic value of Federated Emerging's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Federated Emerging's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
8.28
Real Value
10.12
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Federated Emerging Market helps investors to forecast how Federated mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Federated Emerging more accurately as focusing exclusively on Federated Emerging's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.929.069.21
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.029.209.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.099.279.45
Details

Federated Emerging Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Federated Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.20 90 days 9.20 
about 1.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federated Emerging to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.51 (This Federated Emerging Market probability density function shows the probability of Federated Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Federated Emerging has a beta of 0.0756 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Federated Emerging average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Federated Emerging Market will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Federated Emerging Market has an alpha of 0.0592, implying that it can generate a 0.0592 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Federated Emerging Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Federated Emerging

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federated Emerging Market. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.029.209.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.108.2810.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.099.279.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.929.069.21
Details

Federated Emerging Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federated Emerging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federated Emerging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federated Emerging Market, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federated Emerging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Federated Emerging Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federated Emerging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federated Emerging Market can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Federated is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
The fund retains about 95.58% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Federated Emerging Fundamentals Growth

Federated Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Federated Emerging, and Federated Emerging fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Federated Mutual Fund performance.

About Federated Emerging Performance

Evaluating Federated Emerging's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Federated Emerging has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Federated Emerging has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund will invest its assets so that at least 80 percent of its net assets are invested in emerging market fixed-income investments. Federated Emerging is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Federated Emerging Market performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Federated Emerging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Federated Emerging Market help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Federated is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
The fund retains about 95.58% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
Evaluating Federated Emerging's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Federated Emerging's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Federated Emerging's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Federated Emerging's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Federated Emerging's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Federated Emerging's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Federated Emerging's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Federated Emerging's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Federated Emerging's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Federated Emerging's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Federated Emerging's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Federated Mutual Fund

Federated Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federated Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federated with respect to the benefits of owning Federated Emerging security.
Correlation Analysis
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Balance Of Power
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