Elastic Nv Stock Performance
| ESTC Stock | USD 56.38 3.04 5.70% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.53, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Elastic NV will likely underperform. At this point, Elastic NV has a negative expected return of -0.33%. Please make sure to confirm Elastic NV's standard deviation, kurtosis, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if Elastic NV performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Elastic NV has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 5.7 | Five Day Return (7.38) | Year To Date Return (22.30) | Ten Year Return (19.46) | All Time Return (19.46) |
1 | Elastic Deepens Siren Partnership To Advance AI-Driven Investigations For National Security | 12/02/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 4552 shares by Shay Banon of Elastic NV at 75.05 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/09/2025 |
3 | Disposition of 500 shares by Ashutosh Kulkarni of Elastic NV at 76.17 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/15/2025 |
4 | Top Growth Companies With Insider Ownership In January 2026 | 01/09/2026 |
5 | 16,300 Shares in Elastic N.V. ESTC Acquired by Jackson Creek Investment Advisors LLC | 02/03/2026 |
6 | Elastic N.V. ABullCase Theory | 02/04/2026 |
7 | Why Elastic N.V. Remains a High-Growth Stock in the AI-Driven Cybersecurity Market | 02/11/2026 |
8 | Elastic Valuation Check After Elastic Inference Service Expands AI Search Capabilities | 02/13/2026 |
9 | Elastic Price Target Lowered to 98.00 at JPMorgan Chase Co. | 02/20/2026 |
10 | Elastics New AI Models Test Investor Patience And Valuation Gap | 02/24/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 543.1 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -118.7 M |
Elastic NV Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 7,053 in Elastic NV on November 27, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,415) from holding Elastic NV or give up 20.06% of portfolio value over 90 days. Elastic NV is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.1163% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 27% of stocks are less volatile than Elastic, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Elastic NV Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Elastic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 56.38 | 90 days | 56.38 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Elastic NV to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Elastic NV probability density function shows the probability of Elastic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Elastic NV Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Elastic NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Elastic NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Elastic NV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Elastic NV Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Elastic NV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Elastic NV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Elastic NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Elastic NV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.77 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Elastic NV Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Elastic NV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Elastic NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Elastic NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Elastic NV has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.48 B. Net Loss for the year was (108.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.22 B. | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Elastics New AI Models Test Investor Patience And Valuation Gap |
Elastic NV Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Elastic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Elastic NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Elastic NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 103.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Elastic NV Fundamentals Growth
Elastic Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Elastic NV, and Elastic NV fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Elastic Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.13 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0088 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.07) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.02) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 8.41 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 105.37 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | (41.15) X | ||||
| Price To Book | 9.58 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.52 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.48 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.22 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 6.05 M | ||||
| Net Income | (108.11 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 848.76 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 8.94 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 595.01 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.51 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.96 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 8.42 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 266.17 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.02) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 5.67 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.59 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (1.1 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 922.75 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 146.16 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 93.19 M | ||||
About Elastic NV Performance
By analyzing Elastic NV's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Elastic NV's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Elastic NV has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Elastic NV has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.04) | (0.05) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.03) | (0.03) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.04) | (0.04) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.13) | (0.14) |
Things to note about Elastic NV performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Elastic NV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Elastic NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Elastic NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Elastic NV has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.48 B. Net Loss for the year was (108.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.22 B. | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Elastics New AI Models Test Investor Patience And Valuation Gap |
- Analyzing Elastic NV's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Elastic NV's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Elastic NV's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Elastic NV's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Elastic NV's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Elastic NV's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Elastic NV's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
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When running Elastic NV's price analysis, check to measure Elastic NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Elastic NV is operating at the current time. Most of Elastic NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Elastic NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Elastic NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Elastic NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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