Elastic Nv Stock Volatility

ESTC Stock  USD 71.78  0.02  0.03%   
Elastic NV secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0939, which denotes the company had a -0.0939 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Elastic NV exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Elastic NV's Standard Deviation of 2.87, mean deviation of 1.96, and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,488) to check the risk estimate we provide.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0939

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Good Returns
Average Returns
Small Returns
CashSmall RiskAverage RiskHigh RiskHuge Risk
Negative ReturnsESTC
Based on monthly moving average Elastic NV is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Elastic NV by adding Elastic NV to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Elastic NV's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Elastic NV Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Elastic daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Elastic's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Elastic NV volatility.

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Elastic NV's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Elastic NV's managers and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Elastic NV can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Elastic NV at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Elastic NV's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Main indicators related to Elastic NV's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
0.81
Alpha
(0.26)
Risk
2.93
Sharpe Ratio
(0.09)
Expected Return
(0.27)

Moving together with Elastic Stock

  0.75DGNX Diginex Limited OrdinaryPairCorr
  0.63PTAIF PT Astra InternationalPairCorr

Moving against Elastic Stock

  0.82PPERF Bank Mandiri PerseroPairCorr
  0.78CWAN Clearwater AnalyticsPairCorr
  0.71PPERY Bank Mandiri PerseroPairCorr
  0.65TLK Telkom Indonesia TbkPairCorr
  0.59PTAIY Astra International TbkPairCorr
  0.59TLKMF Telkom Indonesia TbkPairCorr
  0.38INTC Intel Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr

Elastic NV Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Elastic NV's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Elastic stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Elastic stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Elastic NV's beta of 0.81 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Elastic NV stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Elastic NV exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.05 and kurtosis of 9.23. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Elastic NV's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Elastic NV's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Check current 90 days Elastic NV correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α-0.26   β0.81
3 Months Beta |Analyze Elastic NV Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Elastic NV correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Elastic NV Volatility and Downside Risk

Elastic standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Using Elastic Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Elastic NV grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Elastic NV at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Elastic Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Elastic NV's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Elastic NV will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Elastic NV's PUT expiring on 2026-03-20

   Profit   
       Elastic NV Price At Expiration  

Current Elastic NV Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
ESTC260320P00040000-0.0510910.003539102026-03-200.0 - 0.750.0View
Put
ESTC260320P00045000-0.061160.00490272026-03-200.0 - 0.750.0View
Put
ESTC260320P00050000-0.0696230.006821772026-03-200.35 - 1.00.0View
Put
ESTC260320P00055000-0.1108780.0106761602026-03-200.75 - 1.450.0View
Put
ESTC260320P00060000-0.186880.0156645802026-03-201.5 - 2.450.0View
Put
ESTC260320P00065000-0.284960.0207011052026-03-203.1 - 3.90.0View
Put
ESTC260320P00070000-0.40410.0229161212026-03-204.6 - 6.50.0View
Put
ESTC260320P00075000-0.5215560.0238611422026-03-207.8 - 8.90.0View
Put
ESTC260320P00080000-0.6262670.0222853232026-03-2011.1 - 12.50.0View
Put
ESTC260320P00085000-0.7056320.0193732822026-03-2014.6 - 17.10.0View
Put
ESTC260320P00090000-0.7793310.0166771402026-03-2018.4 - 21.50.0View
View All Elastic NV Options

Elastic NV Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Elastic NV stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Elastic NV's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Elastic NV's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Elastic NV's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Elastic NV's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Elastic NV's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Elastic NV's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Elastic NV's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Elastic NV Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Elastic NV Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Elastic NV has a beta of 0.8123 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Elastic NV average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Elastic NV will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Elastic NV or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Elastic NV's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Elastic stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Elastic NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Elastic NV's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how elastic stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Elastic NV Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Elastic NV Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Elastic NV is -1064.41. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 8.56 and standard deviation of 2.93. The mean deviation of Elastic NV is currently at 1.98. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.73
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.81
σ
Overall volatility
2.93
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Elastic NV Stock Return Volatility

Elastic NV historical daily return volatility represents how much of Elastic NV stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 2.9254% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7374% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

PAYCOTEX
MNDYOTEX
MNDYPAYC
MNDYIDCC
MNDYNICE
IDCCOTEX
  

High negative correlations

MNDYDAY
DAYIDCC
DAYPAYC
DAYOTEX
NICEDAY
DAYAPPF

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between Elastic Stock performing well and Elastic NV Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Elastic NV's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.
Mean DeviationJensen AlphaSortino RatioTreynor RatioSemi DeviationExpected ShortfallPotential UpsideValue @RiskMaximum Drawdown
OTEX  1.17 (0.51) 0.00 (0.45) 0.00 
 1.45 
 7.58 
APPF  1.45 (0.21) 0.00 (0.11) 0.00 
 3.09 
 12.22 
IDCC  2.04 (0.16) 0.00 (0.45) 0.00 
 3.53 
 17.55 
PAYC  1.43 (0.48) 0.00 (0.37) 0.00 
 2.58 
 13.60 
TTAN  2.00 (0.02)(0.02) 0.02  2.69 
 3.83 
 17.57 
DAY  0.11  0.01 (0.46) 0.21  0.00 
 0.29 
 0.67 
PCOR  1.63 (0.19) 0.00 (0.14) 0.00 
 3.15 
 16.14 
NICE  1.66 (0.26) 0.00 (0.19) 0.00 
 3.22 
 18.80 
MNDY  2.15 (0.54) 0.00 (1.24) 0.00 
 3.21 
 17.07 
PEGA  2.06 (0.13) 0.00 (0.17) 0.00 
 4.59 
 21.07 

About Elastic NV Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Elastic NV or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Elastic NV may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Elastic's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Elastic NV and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Elastic NV fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses709.8 M745.2 M
Market Cap9.2 B5.7 B
Elastic NV's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Elastic Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Elastic NV's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Elastic NV's volatility to invest better

Higher Elastic NV's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Elastic NV stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Elastic NV stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Elastic NV investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Elastic NV's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Elastic NV's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Elastic NV Investment Opportunity

Elastic NV has a volatility of 2.93 and is 3.96 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 26 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Elastic NV. You can use Elastic NV to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Elastic NV to be traded at $71.06 in 90 days.

Very good diversification

The correlation between Elastic NV and DJI is -0.45 (i.e., Very good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Elastic NV and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Elastic NV Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Elastic NV's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Elastic NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Elastic NV stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Elastic NV Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Elastic NV as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Elastic NV's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Elastic NV's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Elastic NV.

Complementary Tools for Elastic Stock analysis

When running Elastic NV's price analysis, check to measure Elastic NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Elastic NV is operating at the current time. Most of Elastic NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Elastic NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Elastic NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Elastic NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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