Expensify Stock Performance

EXFY Stock  USD 1.28  0.01  0.79%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.05, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Expensify returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Expensify is expected to follow. At this point, Expensify has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to confirm Expensify's total risk alpha, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and market facilitation index , to decide if Expensify performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Expensify has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors. ...more
1
Disposition of 10262 shares by David Barrett of Expensify at 1.95 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/21/2025
2
Disposition of 30000 shares by David Barrett of Expensify at 1.52 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/01/2025
3
Expensify and Uber for Business Collaborate to Automate Travel and Meal Receipts
12/02/2025
4
Acquisition by David Barrett of 14463 shares of Expensify subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
5
Acquisition by Ryan Schaffer of 13555 shares of Expensify at 1.65 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/15/2025
6
Disposition of 2632 shares by Ryan Schaffer of Expensify at 1.55 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/17/2025
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Expensify Gets a Buy from Citi - The Globe and Mail
12/23/2025
8
Insider Trading
12/29/2025
9
Acquisition by Alvarez Divo Carlos Eduardo of 20441 shares of Expensify subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2025
10
Acquisition by Alvarez Divo Carlos Eduardo of 78 shares of Expensify subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
11
Acquisition by Alvarez Divo Carlos Eduardo of 5312 shares of Expensify subject to Rule 16b-3
01/05/2026
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Risk On How sensitive is Expensify Inc to inflation - Risk Management Risk Controlled Stock Alerts - baoquankhu1.vn
01/21/2026
13
Disposition of 30000 shares by David Barrett of Expensify at 1.45 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
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Expensify Settles IPO Investors Pricing Suit for 9.5 Million - Bloomberg Law News
02/13/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow96.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-7.6 M

Expensify Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  148.00  in Expensify on November 18, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (20.00) from holding Expensify or give up 13.51% of portfolio value over 90 days. Expensify is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.0276% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 27% of stocks are less volatile than Expensify, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Expensify is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.01 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of volatility.

Expensify Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Expensify Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.28 90 days 1.28 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Expensify to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Expensify probability density function shows the probability of Expensify Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.05 suggesting Expensify market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Expensify is expected to follow. Additionally Expensify has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Expensify Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Expensify

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Expensify. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.284.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.564.56
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.591.751.94
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.030.030.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Expensify. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Expensify's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Expensify's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Expensify.

Expensify Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Expensify is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Expensify's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Expensify, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Expensify within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Expensify Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Expensify for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Expensify can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Expensify generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Expensify may become a speculative penny stock
Expensify has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 139.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 73.07 M.
About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Expensify Settles IPO Investors Pricing Suit for 9.5 Million - Bloomberg Law News

Expensify Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Expensify Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Expensify's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Expensify's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding87.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments48.8 M

Expensify Fundamentals Growth

Expensify Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Expensify, and Expensify fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Expensify Stock performance.

About Expensify Performance

Evaluating Expensify's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Expensify has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Expensify has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 46.26  41.12 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.07)(0.08)
Return On Capital Employed(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Assets(0.07)(0.07)
Return On Equity(0.09)(0.09)

Things to note about Expensify performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Expensify for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Expensify help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Expensify generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Expensify may become a speculative penny stock
Expensify has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 139.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 73.07 M.
About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Expensify Settles IPO Investors Pricing Suit for 9.5 Million - Bloomberg Law News
Evaluating Expensify's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Expensify's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Expensify's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Expensify's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Expensify's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Expensify's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Expensify's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Expensify's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Expensify's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Expensify's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Expensify's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Expensify Stock Analysis

When running Expensify's price analysis, check to measure Expensify's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Expensify is operating at the current time. Most of Expensify's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Expensify's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Expensify's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Expensify to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.