First Trust California Etf Performance
| FCAL Etf | USD 49.51 0.06 0.12% |
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0024, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First Trust is likely to outperform the market.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Solid
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust California are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent basic indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more
1 | First Trust California Municipal High Income ETF Stock Passes Above 200-Day Moving Average Heres What Happened - Defense World | 11/18/2025 |
2 | Risk Channels and Responsive Allocation - Stock Traders Daily | 01/22/2026 |
First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 4,875 in First Trust California on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 70.00 from holding First Trust California or generate 1.44% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust California is currently generating 0.0238% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.1112% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 0% of etfs are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
3 y Volatility 4.97 | 200 Day MA 48.5246 | 1 y Volatility 3.61 | 50 Day MA 49.344 | Inception Date 2017-06-20 |
First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 49.51 | 90 days | 49.51 | roughly 2.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.28 (This First Trust California probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust California has a beta of -0.0024. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First Trust California is likely to outperform the market. Additionally First Trust California has an alpha of 0.0103, implying that it can generate a 0.0103 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). First Trust Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for First Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust California. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.First Trust Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust California, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0024 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.51 |
First Trust Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust California can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Risk Channels and Responsive Allocation - Stock Traders Daily | |
| The fund retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments. |
First Trust Fundamentals Growth
First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.035 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.41 | |||
| Profit Margin | 9.54 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 28.33 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 304.37 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 29.23 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 43.37 X | |||
| Price To Book | 1.18 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 3.29 X | |||
| Revenue | 74.21 M | |||
| EBITDA | 24.59 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 74.8 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 2.56 X | |||
| Total Debt | 133.83 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 7.06 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 8.01 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 18.3 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.20 X | |||
| Total Asset | 116.31 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | 33.45 M | |||
About First Trust Performance
By examining First Trust's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into First Trust's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that First Trust is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
The fund seeks to achieve its investment objectives by investing at least 80 percent of its net assets in municipal debt securities that pay interest that is exempt from regular federal income taxes and California income taxes. California Municipal is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.| About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Risk Channels and Responsive Allocation - Stock Traders Daily | |
| The fund retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments. |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust California. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
The market value of First Trust California is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, First Trust's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.