First Trust California Etf Technical Analysis
| FCAL Etf | USD 49.55 0.07 0.14% |
As of the 1st of February, First Trust shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 469.31, standard deviation of 0.1087, and Mean Deviation of 0.0829. First Trust California technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the entity's future prices. Please confirm First Trust California maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and skewness to decide if First Trust California is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 49.55 per share.
First Trust Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst Trust's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.The market value of First Trust California is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, First Trust's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
First Trust 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Trust's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Trust.
| 11/03/2025 |
| 02/01/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Trust on November 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Trust California or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Trust over 90 days. First Trust is related to or competes with Trust For, Rockefeller Opportunistic, First Trust, Northern Lights, IShares ESG, Invesco Exchange, and AdvisorShares Focused. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objectives by investing at least 80 percent of its net assets in municipal debt... More
First Trust Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Trust's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Trust California upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.0988 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.20) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 0.5901 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.2051 |
First Trust Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Trust's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Trust's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Trust historical prices to predict the future First Trust's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0976 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0133 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0079 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.22) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (3.99) |
First Trust February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0976 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (3.98) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.0829 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.0988 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 469.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1087 | |||
| Variance | 0.0118 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.20) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0133 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0079 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.22) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (3.99) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 0.5901 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.2051 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0098 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.02) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.11) | |||
| Skewness | 0.4102 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.8637 |
First Trust California Backtested Returns
As of now, First Etf is very steady. First Trust California secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.21, which denotes the etf had a 0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for First Trust California, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm First Trust's Mean Deviation of 0.0829, coefficient of variation of 469.31, and Standard Deviation of 0.1087 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.023%. The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0033, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First Trust is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.28 |
Poor predictability
First Trust California has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Trust time series from 3rd of November 2025 to 18th of December 2025 and 18th of December 2025 to 1st of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Trust California price movement. The serial correlation of 0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current First Trust price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.28 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.03 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.03 |
First Trust technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First Trust California Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of First Trust California volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About First Trust Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Trust California on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Trust California based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this etf, focuses on First Trust California price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Trust California. By analyzing First Trust's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Trust's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Trust specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
First Trust February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0976 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (3.98) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.0829 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.0988 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 469.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1087 | |||
| Variance | 0.0118 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.20) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0133 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0079 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.22) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (3.99) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 0.5901 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.2051 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0098 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.02) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.11) | |||
| Skewness | 0.4102 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.8637 |
First Trust California One Year Return
Based on the recorded statements, First Trust California has an One Year Return of 3.9%. This is 57.24% lower than that of the First Trust family and significantly higher than that of the Muni California Long category. The one year return for all United States etfs is notably lower than that of the firm.
Although One Year Fund Return indicator can give a sense of overall fund short-term potential, it is recommended to look at mid and long term return measure before selecting a particular fund or ETF. The great way to validate fund short-term performance is to compare it with other similar funds or ETFs for the same 12 months interval.First Trust February 1, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.40 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 49.55 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 49.55 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.04 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.05 |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust California. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
The market value of First Trust California is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, First Trust's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.