Falling Dollar Profund Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

FDPSX Fund  USD 12.48  0.11  0.87%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0091, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Falling Dollar's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Falling Dollar is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Falling Dollar Profund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Falling Dollar is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Falling Dollar Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,248  in Falling Dollar Profund on December 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.00  from holding Falling Dollar Profund or generate 0.0% return on investment over 90 days. Falling Dollar Profund is currently producing 7.0E-4% returns and takes up 0.3862% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 3% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Falling, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Falling Dollar is expected to generate 54.29 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.96 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.0 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Falling Dollar Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
12.48
Please note that Falling Dollar's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be undervalued. Falling Dollar Profund shows a prevailing Real Value of $13.73 per share. The current price of the fund is $12.48. We determine the value of Falling Dollar Profund from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since Falling Dollar is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Falling Mutual Fund. However, Falling Dollar's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  12.48 Real  13.73 Hype  12.59 Naive  12.54
The intrinsic value of Falling Dollar's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Falling Dollar's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
13.73
Real Value
14.10
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Falling Dollar Profund helps investors to forecast how Falling mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Falling Dollar more accurately as focusing exclusively on Falling Dollar's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.5912.5912.59
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.2212.5912.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
12.1712.5412.91
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Falling Dollar Profund extending back to March 02, 2005. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Falling Dollar stands at 12.48, as last reported on the 3rd of March, with the highest price reaching 12.48 and the lowest price hitting 12.48 during the day.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Falling Dollar Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Falling Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.48 90 days 12.48 
about 73.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Falling Dollar to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 73.77 (This Falling Dollar Profund probability density function shows the probability of Falling Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Falling Dollar has a beta of 0.0091. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Falling Dollar average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Falling Dollar Profund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Falling Dollar Profund has an alpha of 0.0216, implying that it can generate a 0.0216 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Falling Dollar Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Falling Dollar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Falling Dollar Profund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Falling Dollar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.2212.5912.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.3313.7314.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.1712.5412.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.5912.5912.59
Details

Falling Dollar Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Falling Dollar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Falling Dollar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Falling Dollar Profund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Falling Dollar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Falling Dollar Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Falling Dollar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Falling Dollar Profund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Falling Dollar Profund generated-4.0 ten year return of -4.0%
This fund retains about 100.0% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Falling Dollar Fundamentals Growth

Falling Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Falling Dollar, and Falling Dollar fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Falling Mutual Fund performance.

About Falling Dollar Performance

Evaluating Falling Dollar's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Falling Dollar has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Falling Dollar has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests in financial instruments that the fund advisors believes, in combination, should track the performance of the index. The index measures the value of the U.S. Dollar against a basket of currencies of the top six trading partners of the United States as measured in 1973. The fund is non-diversified.

Things to note about Falling Dollar Profund performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Falling Dollar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Falling Dollar Profund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Falling Dollar Profund generated-4.0 ten year return of -4.0%
This fund retains about 100.0% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Falling Dollar's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Falling Dollar's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Falling Dollar's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Falling Dollar's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Falling Dollar's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Falling Dollar's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Falling Dollar's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Falling Dollar's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Falling Dollar's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Falling Dollar's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Falling Dollar's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Falling Mutual Fund

Falling Dollar financial ratios help investors to determine whether Falling Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Falling with respect to the benefits of owning Falling Dollar security.
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