FESA4F (Brazil) Performance

FESA4F Stock  BRL 8.19  0.19  2.37%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, FESA4F holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.16, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, FESA4F's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding FESA4F is expected to be smaller as well. Please check FESA4F's treynor ratio, value at risk, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to make a quick decision on whether FESA4F's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in FESA4F are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat uncertain basic indicators, FESA4F sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
  

FESA4F Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  688.00  in FESA4F on November 25, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  131.00  from holding FESA4F or generate 19.04% return on investment over 90 days. FESA4F is generating 0.3166% of daily returns and assumes 2.0598% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 18% of stocks are less volatile than FESA4F, and 94% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FESA4F is expected to generate 2.84 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.84 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

FESA4F Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of FESA4F Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.19 90 days 8.19 
about 5.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FESA4F to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.48 (This FESA4F probability density function shows the probability of FESA4F Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FESA4F has a beta of 0.16. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FESA4F average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FESA4F will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FESA4F has an alpha of 0.1581, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FESA4F Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FESA4F

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FESA4F. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.138.1910.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.297.359.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.377.439.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.388.1211.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FESA4F. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FESA4F's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FESA4F's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FESA4F.

FESA4F Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FESA4F is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FESA4F's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FESA4F, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FESA4F within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

About FESA4F Performance

By analyzing FESA4F's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into FESA4F's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if FESA4F has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if FESA4F has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.

Things to note about FESA4F performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about FESA4F for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for FESA4F help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating FESA4F's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate FESA4F's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing FESA4F's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether FESA4F's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining FESA4F's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating FESA4F's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of FESA4F's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of FESA4F's stock. These opinions can provide insight into FESA4F's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating FESA4F's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact FESA4F's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running FESA4F's price analysis, check to measure FESA4F's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FESA4F is operating at the current time. Most of FESA4F's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FESA4F's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FESA4F's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FESA4F to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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