Firstgroup Plc Stock Performance
| FGROF Stock | USD 2.50 0.00 0.00% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.23, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning FirstGroup Plc are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, FirstGroup Plc is likely to outperform the market. At this point, FirstGroup plc has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to confirm FirstGroup Plc's jensen alpha and rate of daily change , to decide if FirstGroup plc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days FirstGroup plc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.4 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 2.1 B |
FirstGroup |
FirstGroup Plc Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 275.00 in FirstGroup plc on October 27, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (25.00) from holding FirstGroup plc or give up 9.09% of portfolio value over 90 days. FirstGroup plc is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 2.3% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 20% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than FirstGroup, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
FirstGroup Plc Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of FirstGroup Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.50 | 90 days | 2.50 | about 60.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FirstGroup Plc to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 60.94 (This FirstGroup plc probability density function shows the probability of FirstGroup Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon FirstGroup plc has a beta of -0.23. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FirstGroup Plc are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FirstGroup plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FirstGroup plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. FirstGroup Plc Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FirstGroup Plc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FirstGroup plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FirstGroup Plc Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FirstGroup Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FirstGroup Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FirstGroup plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FirstGroup Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
FirstGroup Plc Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FirstGroup Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FirstGroup plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FirstGroup plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FirstGroup plc has accumulated 200.5 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.6, which is about average as compared to similar companies. FirstGroup plc has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist FirstGroup Plc until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FirstGroup Plc's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FirstGroup plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FirstGroup to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FirstGroup Plc's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 99.0% of FirstGroup Plc shares are owned by institutional investors |
FirstGroup Plc Fundamentals Growth
FirstGroup Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of FirstGroup Plc, and FirstGroup Plc fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on FirstGroup Pink Sheet performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0656 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0076 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.01 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 2.71 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 734.54 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 1.63 X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.98 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.19 X | |||
| Revenue | 2.93 B | |||
| EBITDA | 875.4 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 787.7 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 1.06 X | |||
| Total Debt | 200.5 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 1.60 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 1.01 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 65.4 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.07 X | |||
| Total Asset | 3.83 B | |||
| Current Asset | 1.14 B | |||
| Current Liabilities | 1.38 B | |||
About FirstGroup Plc Performance
By analyzing FirstGroup Plc's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into FirstGroup Plc's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if FirstGroup Plc has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if FirstGroup Plc has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
FirstGroup plc provides public transport services in the United Kingdom and the United States. FirstGroup plc was founded in 1986 and is based in London, the United Kingdom. Firstgroup Plc operates under Railroads classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 31064 people.Things to note about FirstGroup plc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about FirstGroup Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for FirstGroup plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FirstGroup plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FirstGroup plc has accumulated 200.5 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.6, which is about average as compared to similar companies. FirstGroup plc has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist FirstGroup Plc until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FirstGroup Plc's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FirstGroup plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FirstGroup to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FirstGroup Plc's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 99.0% of FirstGroup Plc shares are owned by institutional investors |
- Analyzing FirstGroup Plc's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether FirstGroup Plc's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining FirstGroup Plc's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating FirstGroup Plc's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of FirstGroup Plc's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of FirstGroup Plc's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into FirstGroup Plc's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for FirstGroup Pink Sheet analysis
When running FirstGroup Plc's price analysis, check to measure FirstGroup Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FirstGroup Plc is operating at the current time. Most of FirstGroup Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FirstGroup Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FirstGroup Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FirstGroup Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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