FirstGroup Plc Valuation

FGROF Stock  USD 2.50  0.19  8.23%   
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the firm appears to be fairly valued. FirstGroup plc shows a prevailing Real Value of $2.52 per share. The current price of the firm is $2.5. Our model computes the value of FirstGroup plc from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 2.71 B, shares outstanding of 734.54 M, and Profit Margin of 0.03 % as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Fairly Valued
Today
2.50
Please note that FirstGroup Plc's price fluctuation is relatively risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of FirstGroup plc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing FirstGroup Plc's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the FirstGroup pink sheet is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of FirstGroup plc. Since FirstGroup Plc is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of FirstGroup Pink Sheet. However, FirstGroup Plc's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  2.5 Real  2.52 Hype  2.5 Naive  2.75
The real value of FirstGroup Pink Sheet, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of FirstGroup plc Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on FirstGroup Plc's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of FirstGroup Plc's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
2.52
Real Value
4.80
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of FirstGroup plc helps investors to forecast how FirstGroup pink sheet's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of FirstGroup Plc more accurately as focusing exclusively on FirstGroup Plc's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.242.623.01
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.222.504.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.472.755.03
Details

FirstGroup Plc Total Value Analysis

FirstGroup plc is currently estimated to have takeover price of 2.71 B with market capitalization of 1 B, debt of 200.5 M, and cash on hands of 787.7 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the FirstGroup Plc fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
2.71 B
B
200.5 M
787.7 M

FirstGroup Plc Investor Information

About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.98. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. FirstGroup plc last dividend was issued on the 17th of November 2022. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from FirstGroup Plc's historical financial statements, FirstGroup plc is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in January.

FirstGroup Plc Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The current return on assets of FirstGroup implies not a very effective usage of assets in December.

FirstGroup Plc Ownership Allocation

FirstGroup Plc holds a total of 734.54 Million outstanding shares. The majority of FirstGroup plc outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to obtain positions in FirstGroup plc to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in FirstGroup Plc. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of FirstGroup plc as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that almost eighteen million five hundred eighty-three thousand eight hundred sixty-three invesors are currently shorting FirstGroup Plc expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

FirstGroup Plc Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 2.93 B. Net Income was 636.4 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.86 B.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates FirstGroup Plc's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in FirstGroup Plc and how it compares across the competition.

About FirstGroup Plc Valuation

The pink sheet valuation mechanism determines FirstGroup Plc's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of FirstGroup Plc. We calculate exposure to FirstGroup Plc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of FirstGroup Plc's related companies.
FirstGroup plc provides public transport services in the United Kingdom and the United States. FirstGroup plc was founded in 1986 and is based in London, the United Kingdom. Firstgroup Plc operates under Railroads classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 31064 people.

8 Steps to conduct FirstGroup Plc's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates FirstGroup Plc's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct FirstGroup Plc's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain FirstGroup Plc's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine FirstGroup Plc's revenue streams: Identify FirstGroup Plc's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research FirstGroup Plc's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish FirstGroup Plc's growth potential: Evaluate FirstGroup Plc's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine FirstGroup Plc's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate FirstGroup Plc's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

FirstGroup Plc Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as FirstGroup Plc does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding750.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.022
Forward Price Earnings9.3458
Retained Earnings137.6 M

Complementary Tools for FirstGroup Pink Sheet analysis

When running FirstGroup Plc's price analysis, check to measure FirstGroup Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FirstGroup Plc is operating at the current time. Most of FirstGroup Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FirstGroup Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FirstGroup Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FirstGroup Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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