Fossil Group 7 Performance

FOSLLDelisted Stock  USD 17.01  0.00  0.00%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0474, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Fossil Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Fossil Group is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Fossil Group 7 has a negative expected return of -0.22%. Please make sure to confirm Fossil Group's jensen alpha and kurtosis , to decide if Fossil Group 7 performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Fossil Group 7 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more
  

Fossil Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,721  in Fossil Group 7 on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (20.00) from holding Fossil Group 7 or give up 1.16% of portfolio value over 90 days. Fossil Group 7 is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.9736% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 17% of traded stocks are less volatile than Fossil, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fossil Group is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.58 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Fossil Group Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Fossil Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.01 90 days 17.01 
about 88.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fossil Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.14 (This Fossil Group 7 probability density function shows the probability of Fossil Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fossil Group 7 has a beta of -0.0474. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fossil Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fossil Group 7 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fossil Group 7 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fossil Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fossil Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fossil Group 7. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.2117.1819.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.4215.3917.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.2916.2718.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.0818.6122.14
Details

Fossil Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fossil Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fossil Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fossil Group 7, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fossil Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
1.98
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Fossil Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fossil Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fossil Group 7 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fossil Group 7 is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Fossil Group 7 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fossil Group 7 has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years

Fossil Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fossil Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fossil Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fossil Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.092
Shares Short Prior Month1384

Fossil Group Fundamentals Growth

Fossil Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Fossil Group, and Fossil Group fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Fossil Stock performance.

About Fossil Group Performance

By examining Fossil Group's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Fossil Group's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Fossil Group is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.

Things to note about Fossil Group 7 performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fossil Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Fossil Group 7 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fossil Group 7 is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Fossil Group 7 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fossil Group 7 has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Evaluating Fossil Group's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Fossil Group's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Fossil Group's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Fossil Group's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Fossil Group's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Fossil Group's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Fossil Group's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Fossil Group's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Fossil Group's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Fossil Group's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Fossil Group's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

Other Consideration for investing in Fossil Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Fossil Group 7 check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Fossil Group's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance