Shift4 Payments Stock Performance
| FOUR Stock | USD 61.46 2.74 4.27% |
The entity has a beta of 1.77, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Shift4 Payments will likely underperform. At this point, Shift4 Payments has a negative expected return of -0.1%. Please make sure to validate Shift4 Payments' coefficient of variation, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Shift4 Payments performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Shift4 Payments has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, Shift4 Payments is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (4.27) | Five Day Return (5.50) | Year To Date Return (1.95) | Ten Year Return 83.24 | All Time Return 83.24 |
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| Begin Period Cash Flow | 721.8 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -691.1 M |
Shift4 Payments Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 6,631 in Shift4 Payments on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (485.00) from holding Shift4 Payments or give up 7.31% of portfolio value over 90 days. Shift4 Payments is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.3339% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 20% of stocks are less volatile than Shift4, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Shift4 Payments Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Shift4 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 61.46 | 90 days | 61.46 | over 95.98 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shift4 Payments to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.98 (This Shift4 Payments probability density function shows the probability of Shift4 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.77 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Shift4 Payments will likely underperform. Additionally Shift4 Payments has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Shift4 Payments Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shift4 Payments
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shift4 Payments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shift4 Payments' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Shift4 Payments Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shift4 Payments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shift4 Payments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shift4 Payments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shift4 Payments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Shift4 Payments Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shift4 Payments for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shift4 Payments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shift4 Payments generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Shift4 Payments has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Oversold Conditions For Descartes Systems Group - Nasdaq |
Shift4 Payments Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shift4 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shift4 Payments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shift4 Payments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 91.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Shift4 Payments Fundamentals Growth
Shift4 Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Shift4 Payments, and Shift4 Payments fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Shift4 Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0314 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 8.67 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 67.56 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 116.34 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 6.34 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.47 X | ||||
| Revenue | 3.33 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.26 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 356.8 M | ||||
| Net Income | 294.5 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 672.7 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 11.88 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 2.88 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 4.18 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.33 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 10.14 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 500.3 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.14 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 5.69 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 5.04 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (228.2 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 530.6 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 776 K | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 2.2 M | ||||
About Shift4 Payments Performance
Assessing Shift4 Payments' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Shift4 Payments' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Shift4 Payments is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 1.58 | 2.40 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.08 | 0.08 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.06 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.04 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.26 | 0.27 |
Things to note about Shift4 Payments performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shift4 Payments for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Shift4 Payments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shift4 Payments generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Shift4 Payments has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Oversold Conditions For Descartes Systems Group - Nasdaq |
- Analyzing Shift4 Payments' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Shift4 Payments' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Shift4 Payments' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Shift4 Payments' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Shift4 Payments' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Shift4 Payments' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Shift4 Payments' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Shift4 Stock Analysis
When running Shift4 Payments' price analysis, check to measure Shift4 Payments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shift4 Payments is operating at the current time. Most of Shift4 Payments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shift4 Payments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shift4 Payments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shift4 Payments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.