Gladstone Capital Stock Performance

GLAD Stock  USD 18.28  0.31  1.67%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.58, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Gladstone Capital's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Gladstone Capital is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Gladstone Capital has a negative expected return of -0.15%. Please make sure to check out Gladstone Capital's total risk alpha, potential upside, and the relationship between the standard deviation and maximum drawdown , to decide if Gladstone Capital performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Gladstone Capital has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest conflicting performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.67)
Five Day Return
(2.66)
Year To Date Return
(11.65)
Ten Year Return
47.9
All Time Return
(45.56)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1017
Payout Ratio
0.297
Last Split Factor
1:2
Forward Dividend Rate
1.89
Dividend Date
2026-03-31
1
Insider Trading
11/24/2025
 
Gladstone Capital dividend paid on 26th of November 2025
11/26/2025
 
Gladstone Capital dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
2
Acquisition by Robert Marcotte of 10000 shares of Gladstone Capital at 7.97 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/07/2026
3
Gladstone Capital Corporation Receives 22.00 Average Price Target from Brokerages
01/16/2026
4
Gladstone Capital Expected to Announce Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat
01/28/2026
 
Gladstone Capital dividend paid on 30th of January 2026
01/30/2026
5
Software debt selloff may give private credit an edge Wells Fargo
02/03/2026
6
Gladstone Capital reports FQ1 results
02/04/2026
7
Gladstone Capital GLAD Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript
02/05/2026
8
Gladstone Capital Corporation Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
02/06/2026
9
Financial Analysis Medallion Financial vs. Gladstone Capital
02/11/2026
10
Gladstone Capital Management Boosts Amazon Position With 2,900 Shares - TipRanks
02/18/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow2.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-49.1 M

Gladstone Capital Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,008  in Gladstone Capital on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (180.00) from holding Gladstone Capital or give up 8.96% of portfolio value over 90 days. Gladstone Capital is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.4043% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than Gladstone, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Gladstone Capital is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.87 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.14 per unit of volatility.

Gladstone Capital Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Gladstone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18.28 90 days 18.28 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gladstone Capital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Gladstone Capital probability density function shows the probability of Gladstone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Gladstone Capital has a beta of 0.58. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gladstone Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gladstone Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gladstone Capital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Gladstone Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gladstone Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gladstone Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.9318.3319.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.4520.2321.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.8518.2519.65
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.5721.5023.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gladstone Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gladstone Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gladstone Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gladstone Capital.

Gladstone Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gladstone Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gladstone Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gladstone Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gladstone Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.58
σ
Overall volatility
0.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Gladstone Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gladstone Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gladstone Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gladstone Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 30th of January 2026 Gladstone Capital paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Gladstone Capital Management Boosts Amazon Position With 2,900 Shares - TipRanks

Gladstone Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gladstone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gladstone Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gladstone Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments32.4 M

Gladstone Capital Fundamentals Growth

Gladstone Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Gladstone Capital, and Gladstone Capital fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Gladstone Stock performance.

About Gladstone Capital Performance

By analyzing Gladstone Capital's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Gladstone Capital's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Gladstone Capital has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Gladstone Capital has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.06  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.08  0.08 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.11 

Things to note about Gladstone Capital performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gladstone Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Gladstone Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gladstone Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 30th of January 2026 Gladstone Capital paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Gladstone Capital Management Boosts Amazon Position With 2,900 Shares - TipRanks
Evaluating Gladstone Capital's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Gladstone Capital's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Gladstone Capital's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Gladstone Capital's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Gladstone Capital's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Gladstone Capital's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Gladstone Capital's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Gladstone Capital's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Gladstone Capital's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Gladstone Capital's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Gladstone Capital's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Gladstone Stock analysis

When running Gladstone Capital's price analysis, check to measure Gladstone Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gladstone Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Gladstone Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gladstone Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gladstone Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gladstone Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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