Green Plains Renewable Stock Performance
| GPRE Stock | USD 15.50 0.77 5.23% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Green Plains holds a performance score of 19. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.28, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Green Plains will likely underperform. Please check Green Plains' information ratio, downside variance, day median price, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Green Plains' current trending patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Solid
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Green Plains Renewable are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Green Plains exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 3.22 | Five Day Return 15.08 | Year To Date Return 43.29 | Ten Year Return (1.87) | All Time Return (56.03) |
Dividend Date 2019-06-14 | Ex Dividend Date 2019-05-23 |
1 | Disposition of 636 shares by Phil Boggs of Green Plains at 5.16 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/05/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by James Herbert of 7685 shares of Green Plains at 9.76 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/18/2025 |
3 | Alto Ingredients Faces Sales Pressure Is a Turnaround in the Cards | 01/06/2026 |
4 | Disposition of 34906 shares by Mapes Michelle of Green Plains at 9.8 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/07/2026 |
5 | Green Plains Shares Down 6.2 percent Whats Next | 01/08/2026 |
6 | Green Plains Inc. Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks | 01/13/2026 |
7 | Insider Trading | 01/16/2026 |
8 | ALTO vs. GPRE Which Renewable Fuels Stock is a Better Investment - Finviz | 01/20/2026 |
9 | Disposition of 427 shares by Phil Boggs of Green Plains at 5.74 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/04/2026 |
10 | Green Plains Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript | 02/05/2026 |
11 | Green Plains Trading 11.3 percent Higher on Earnings Beat | 02/06/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 209.4 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 162.1 M |
Green Plains Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 950.00 in Green Plains Renewable on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 523.00 from holding Green Plains Renewable or generate 55.05% return on investment over 90 days. Green Plains Renewable is currently generating 0.7822% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.1646% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 28% of stocks are less volatile than Green, and 85% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Green Plains Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Green Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 15.50 | 90 days | 15.50 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Green Plains to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Green Plains Renewable probability density function shows the probability of Green Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Green Plains Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Green Plains
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Green Plains Renewable. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Green Plains Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Green Plains is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Green Plains' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Green Plains Renewable, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Green Plains within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Green Plains Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Green Plains for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Green Plains Renewable can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Green Plains appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.09 B. Net Loss for the year was (121 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 136.93 M. | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Green Plains Trading 11.3 percent Higher on Earnings Beat |
Green Plains Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Green Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Green Plains' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Green Plains' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 67.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 182.3 M |
Green Plains Fundamentals Growth
Green Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Green Plains, and Green Plains fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Green Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.15 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0302 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.06) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.01) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.31 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 69.84 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 43.67 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.34 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.49 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.09 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 136.93 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 31.29 M | ||||
| Net Income | (121 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 533.12 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 9.18 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 508.35 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.90 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.79 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 11.03 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 110.86 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.86) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.03 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.58 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (318.3 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 183.34 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 912.58 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 438.67 M | ||||
About Green Plains Performance
By analyzing Green Plains' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Green Plains' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Green Plains has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Green Plains has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 26.33 | 49.28 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.08) | (0.07) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.06) | (0.06) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.08) | (0.07) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.16) | (0.15) |
Things to note about Green Plains Renewable performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Green Plains for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Green Plains Renewable help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Green Plains appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.09 B. Net Loss for the year was (121 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 136.93 M. | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Green Plains Trading 11.3 percent Higher on Earnings Beat |
- Analyzing Green Plains' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Green Plains' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Green Plains' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Green Plains' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Green Plains' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Green Plains' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Green Plains' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Green Stock analysis
When running Green Plains' price analysis, check to measure Green Plains' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Green Plains is operating at the current time. Most of Green Plains' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Green Plains' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Green Plains' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Green Plains to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| Investing Opportunities Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences | |
| Pair Correlation Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Money Managers Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world | |
| ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world |