Green Plains Renewable Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis

GPRE Stock  USD 15.50  0.77  5.23%   
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as Green Plains Renewable. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in Green Plains over a specified time horizon. Remember, high Green Plains' alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to Green Plains' market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
0.93
Alpha
0.68
Risk
3.21
Sharpe Ratio
0.26
Expected Return
0.84
Please note that although Green Plains alpha is a measure of relative return and represented here as a single number, it indicates the percentage above or below your selected benchmark (i.e., Dow Jones Industrial index.) So in this particular case, Green Plains did 0.68  better than the index. Remember, a high alpha is always good. Beta, on the other hand, measures the volatility (or risk) of an investment. It is an indication of Green Plains Renewable stock's relative risk over its benchmark. Green Plains Renewable has a beta of 0.93  . Green Plains returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Green Plains is expected to follow. At present, Green Plains' Tangible Book Value Per Share is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Enterprise Value Over EBITDA is expected to grow to 33.14, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.82.
Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
Check out Green Plains Analysis, Green Plains Valuation, Green Plains Correlation, Green Plains Hype Analysis, Green Plains Volatility, Green Plains Price History and analyze Green Plains Performance.

Green Plains Market Premiums

Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. Green Plains market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding Green Plains long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in Green Plains. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate Green Plains' performance over market.
α0.68   β0.93

Green Plains expected buy-and-hold returns

Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of Green Plains' Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how Green Plains performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.

Green Plains Market Price Analysis

Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how Green Plains stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Green Plains shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Green Plains stock market price indicators, traders can identify Green Plains position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Green Plains Return and Market Media

The median price of Green Plains for the period between Fri, Nov 14, 2025 and Thu, Feb 12, 2026 is 10.14 with a coefficient of variation of 12.54. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 1.34, arithmetic mean of 10.68, and mean deviation of 1.04. The Stock received substential amount of media coverage during this period.
 Price Growth (%)  
       Timeline  
1
Green Plains Clears Technical Benchmark, Hitting 90-Plus RS Rating
11/18/2025
2
Disposition of 636 shares by Phil Boggs of Green Plains at 5.16 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/05/2025
3
Acquisition by James Herbert of 7685 shares of Green Plains at 9.76 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/18/2025
4
Disposition of 34906 shares by Mapes Michelle of Green Plains at 9.8 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/07/2026
5
Bioenergy Industry Research Report 2025 550 Bn Market Trends, Opportunities and Strategies, 2019-2024, 2025-2029F, 2034F
01/08/2026
6
Green Plains Expands Leadership Team with Ryan Loneman as General Counsel
01/12/2026
7
Insider Trading
01/16/2026
8
Is the Pekin Segment the Anchor of Alto Ingredients Growth Strategy
01/22/2026
9
Green Plains Celanese Critical Comparison
01/30/2026
10
Biofuels Global Markets Report 2025 Revenue Data for 2024, Estimates for 2025, 2029 Forecasts, and CAGRs Projection Through 2030 Featuring Key Players - ADM, Ca...
02/04/2026
11
Green Plains Renewable Energy Q4 Earnings Surpass Estimates
02/05/2026
12
Green Plains Inc. Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
02/06/2026
13
Why Green Plains Is Up 19.6 percent After Returning To Profit On Lower Sales - And Whats Next
02/11/2026

About Green Plains Beta and Alpha

For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including Green or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in Green Plains Renewable has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01530.008540.0098210.00933
Price To Sales Ratio0.450.250.320.42

Green Plains Upcoming Company Events

As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of Green Plains' financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Green Plains' leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of Green Plains' public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of Green Plains. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Green Plains' management manipulating its earnings.
7th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
7th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Build Portfolio with Green Plains

Your optimized portfolios are the building block of your wealth. We provide an intuitive interface to determine which securities in a portfolio should be removed or rebalanced to achieve better diversification, find the right mix of securities that minimizes portfolio risk for a given return, or maximize portfolio expected return for a given risk level.

Build Diversified Portfolios

Align your risk with return expectations

By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
When determining whether Green Plains Renewable is a strong investment it is important to analyze Green Plains' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Green Plains' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Green Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Green Plains technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Green Plains technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Green Plains trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...