Hanlon Tactical Dividend Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

HTDRX Fund  USD 14.81  0.07  0.47%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.78, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Hanlon Tactical's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Hanlon Tactical is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Hanlon Tactical Dividend has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Hanlon Tactical is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
...more
  

Hanlon Tactical Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,486  in Hanlon Tactical Dividend on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (5.00) from holding Hanlon Tactical Dividend or give up 0.34% of portfolio value over 90 days. Hanlon Tactical Dividend is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.6976% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 6% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Hanlon, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hanlon Tactical is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 1.06 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about 0.0 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Hanlon Tactical Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
14.81
Please note that Hanlon Tactical's price fluctuation is out of control at this time. Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the entity cannot be evaluated at this time. Hanlon Tactical Dividend regular Real Value cannot be determined due to lack of data. The prevalent price of Hanlon Tactical Dividend is $14.81. We determine the value of Hanlon Tactical Dividend from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Hanlon Tactical is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Hanlon Mutual Fund. However, Hanlon Tactical's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  14.81 Real  0.0 Hype  0.0 Naive  14.83
The intrinsic value of Hanlon Tactical's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Hanlon Tactical's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
0.00
Real Value
0.69
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Hanlon Tactical Dividend helps investors to forecast how Hanlon mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Hanlon Tactical more accurately as focusing exclusively on Hanlon Tactical's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.6114.7814.95
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
14.1414.8315.52
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Hanlon Tactical Dividend extending back to September 09, 2015. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Hanlon Tactical stands at 14.81, as last reported on the 26th of January, with the highest price reaching 14.81 and the lowest price hitting 14.81 during the day.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Hanlon Tactical Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Hanlon Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.81 90 days 14.81 
about 18.41
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hanlon Tactical to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 18.41 (This Hanlon Tactical Dividend probability density function shows the probability of Hanlon Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hanlon Tactical has a beta of 0.78. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hanlon Tactical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hanlon Tactical Dividend will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hanlon Tactical Dividend has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Hanlon Tactical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hanlon Tactical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hanlon Tactical Dividend. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.1414.8315.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.6114.7814.95
Details

Hanlon Tactical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hanlon Tactical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hanlon Tactical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hanlon Tactical Dividend, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hanlon Tactical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Hanlon Tactical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hanlon Tactical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hanlon Tactical Dividend can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hanlon Tactical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains about 87.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Hanlon Tactical Fundamentals Growth

Hanlon Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Hanlon Tactical, and Hanlon Tactical fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Hanlon Mutual Fund performance.

About Hanlon Tactical Performance

Evaluating Hanlon Tactical's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Hanlon Tactical has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Hanlon Tactical has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund follows, when appropriate, a rules-based investment strategy, that includes both a sector tactical overlay and ranking selection strategy among the eleven major economic sectors in the U.S. economy. The Adviser may also exercise its discretion in applying the rules based investment strategy, when, in its opinion, a discretionary management approach would be more appropriate. These eleven sectors include communications services, consumer discretionary consumer staples energy financials health care industrials information technology materials real estate and utilities.

Things to note about Hanlon Tactical Dividend performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hanlon Tactical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Hanlon Tactical Dividend help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hanlon Tactical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains about 87.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Hanlon Tactical's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Hanlon Tactical's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Hanlon Tactical's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Hanlon Tactical's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Hanlon Tactical's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Hanlon Tactical's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Hanlon Tactical's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Hanlon Tactical's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Hanlon Tactical's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Hanlon Tactical's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Hanlon Tactical's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Hanlon Mutual Fund

Hanlon Tactical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hanlon Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hanlon with respect to the benefits of owning Hanlon Tactical security.
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance