Japan Smaller Capitalization Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

JOF Fund  USD 11.46  0.06  0.53%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.13, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Japan Smaller's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Japan Smaller is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Japan Smaller Capitalization are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak basic indicators, Japan Smaller reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Japan Smaller Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,008  in Japan Smaller Capitalization on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  138.00  from holding Japan Smaller Capitalization or generate 13.69% return on investment over 90 days. Japan Smaller Capitalization is generating 0.2112% of daily returns assuming volatility of 0.903% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 8% of funds are less volatile than Japan, and above 96% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Japan Smaller is expected to generate 1.22 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.22 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Japan Smaller Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
11.46
Please note that Japan Smaller's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be undervalued. Japan Smaller Capita retains a regular Real Value of $12.31 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $11.46. We determine the value of Japan Smaller Capita from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage locking in undervalued funds and disposing overvalued funds since, at some point, fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
The fair value of the Japan fund is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Japan Smaller Capitalization. Since Japan Smaller is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Japan Fund. However, Japan Smaller's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.46 Real  12.31 Hype  11.46 Naive  11.49
The real value of Japan Fund, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Japan Smaller Capita Fund, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Japan Smaller's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Japan Smaller's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
12.31
Real Value
13.21
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Japan Smaller Capitalization helps investors to forecast how Japan fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Japan Smaller more accurately as focusing exclusively on Japan Smaller's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.7911.2311.66
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5611.4612.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.5911.4912.40
Details

Japan Smaller Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Japan Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.46 90 days 11.46 
about 5.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Japan Smaller to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.8 (This Japan Smaller Capitalization probability density function shows the probability of Japan Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Japan Smaller has a beta of 0.13. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Japan Smaller average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Japan Smaller Capitalization will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Japan Smaller Capitalization has an alpha of 0.1965, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Japan Smaller Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Japan Smaller

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Japan Smaller Capita. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5611.4612.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4112.3113.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.5911.4912.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.7911.2311.66
Details

Japan Smaller Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Japan Smaller is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Japan Smaller's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Japan Smaller Capitalization, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Japan Smaller within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.49
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Japan Smaller Fundamentals Growth

Japan Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Japan Smaller, and Japan Smaller fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Japan Fund performance.

About Japan Smaller Performance

By analyzing Japan Smaller's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Japan Smaller's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Japan Smaller has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Japan Smaller has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Japan Smaller Capitalization Fund, Inc. is a closed-ended equity mutual fund launched by Nomura Asset Management U.S.A. Japan Smaller Capitalization Fund, Inc. was formed on March 22, 1990 and is domiciled in the United States. Japan Smaller is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Japan Smaller Capita performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Japan Smaller for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Fund alerts and notifications screener for Japan Smaller Capita help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Japan Smaller's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Japan Smaller's fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Japan Smaller's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Japan Smaller's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Japan Smaller's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Japan Smaller's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Japan Smaller's management team can help you assess the Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Japan Smaller's fund. These opinions can provide insight into Japan Smaller's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Japan Smaller's fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Japan Smaller's fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Japan Fund

Japan Smaller financial ratios help investors to determine whether Japan Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Japan with respect to the benefits of owning Japan Smaller security.
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