Macys Inc Stock Performance
| M Stock | USD 20.83 1.58 7.05% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.67, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Macys' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Macys is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Macys Inc has a negative expected return of -0.0704%. Please make sure to verify Macys' value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to decide if Macys Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Macys Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy primary indicators, Macys is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (5.09) | Five Day Return (5.47) | Year To Date Return (6.51) | Ten Year Return (49.73) | All Time Return 146.47 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0326 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.73 | Dividend Date 2026-01-02 |
1 | Telsey Advisory Group Expects Stronger Earnings for Macys | 12/02/2025 |
2 | M Q3 Deep Dive Store Revamps and Digital Drive Steady Performance Amid Consumer Shifts | 12/04/2025 |
3 | Disposition of 13500 shares by Olivier Bron of Macys at 22.2126 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/08/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 85000 shares by Danielle Kirgan of Macys at 23.9176 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/11/2025 |
5 | Acquisition by Clark Richard of 1353 shares of Macys subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/31/2025 |
| Macys dividend paid on 2nd of January 2026 | 01/02/2026 |
6 | Heres What the Wall Street Thinks About Macys, Inc | 01/16/2026 |
7 | Y Intercept Hong Kong Ltd Buys Shares of 184,435 Macys, Inc. M | 01/27/2026 |
8 | What Macys s 2026 Store Closures and Improving Comps Mean For Shareholders | 01/28/2026 |
9 | Macys Downgraded to Hold Rating by Zacks Research | 02/04/2026 |
10 | 1 Consumer Stock to Consider Right Now and 2 That Underwhelm | 02/11/2026 |
11 | A Look At Macys Valuation After Recent Share Price Move And Reported Intrinsic Discount | 02/12/2026 |
12 | Is It Time To Reassess Macys After Its Strong Five Year Share Price Run | 02/19/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -592 M |
Macys Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,226 in Macys Inc on November 26, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (134.00) from holding Macys Inc or give up 6.02% of portfolio value over 90 days. Macys Inc is generating negative expected returns and assumes 2.5883% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put is differently, 23% of stocks are less volatile than Macys, and over 99% of all traded equities are expected to make higher returns on investment over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Macys Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Macys Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 20.83 | 90 days | 20.83 | about 78.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Macys to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 78.4 (This Macys Inc probability density function shows the probability of Macys Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Macys Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Macys
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Macys Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Macys Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Macys is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Macys' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Macys Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Macys within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Macys Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Macys for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Macys Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Macys Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 2nd of January 2026 Macys paid $ 0.1824 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is It Time To Reassess Macys After Its Strong Five Year Share Price Run |
Macys Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Macys Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Macys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Macys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 281.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Macys Fundamentals Growth
Macys Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Macys, and Macys fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Macys Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0322 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.01 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 9.54 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 265.88 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 4.95 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.10 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.26 X | ||||
| Revenue | 23.01 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 9.17 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 1.76 B | ||||
| Net Income | 582 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.31 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.20 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 5.71 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.77 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.09 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 16.28 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.28 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.70 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 5.96 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 16.4 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 6.5 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 1.96 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 8.35 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 4.78 B | ||||
About Macys Performance
By examining Macys' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Macys' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Macys is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 111.91 | 138.07 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.03 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.01 | 0.01 |
Things to note about Macys Inc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Macys for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Macys Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Macys Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 2nd of January 2026 Macys paid $ 0.1824 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is It Time To Reassess Macys After Its Strong Five Year Share Price Run |
- Analyzing Macys' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Macys' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Macys' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Macys' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Macys' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Macys' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Macys' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Macys Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Will Broadline Retail sector continue expanding? Could Macys diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Macys. Expected growth trajectory for Macys significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Macys data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | Dividend Share 0.721 | Earnings Share 1.7 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.002 |
Macys Inc's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Macys's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Macys' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Macys' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Macys' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Macys represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Macys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.