Macys Inc Stock Price Prediction
| M Stock | USD 15.40 0.27 1.72% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
29
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.3992 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.365 | Wall Street Target Price 17 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.0252 |
Using Macys hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Macys Inc from the perspective of Macys response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Macys using Macys' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Macys using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Macys' stock price.
Macys Short Interest
An investor who is long Macys may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Macys and may potentially protect profits, hedge Macys with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 16.8124 | Short Percent 0.0655 | Short Ratio 2.65 | Shares Short Prior Month 15 M | 50 Day MA 15.91 |
Macys Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Macys' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Macys. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Macys can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Macys Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Macys' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Macys.
Macys Implied Volatility | 0.58 |
Macys' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Macys Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Macys' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Macys stock will not fluctuate a lot when Macys' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Macys to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Macys because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Macys after-hype prediction price | USD 15.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Macys contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Macys Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0363% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With Macys trading at USD 15.4, that is roughly USD 0.005583 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Macys' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Macys Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.58%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Macys |
Macys After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Macys at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Macys or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Macys, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Macys Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Macys' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Macys' historical news coverage. Macys' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.50 and 18.28, respectively. We have considered Macys' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Macys is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Macys Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Macys Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Macys is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Macys backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Macys, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 2.89 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 7 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.40 | 15.39 | 0.06 |
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Macys Hype Timeline
As of January 31, 2025 Macys Inc is listed for 15.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Macys is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 15.39. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Macys is about 560.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.36. About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.03. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Macys Inc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.07. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 12th of June 2006. Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Macys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Macys Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Macys' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Macys' future price movements. Getting to know how Macys' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Macys may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JWN | Nordstrom | (0.05) | 7 per month | 1.59 | 0.02 | 3.49 | (2.21) | 15.26 | |
| DDS | Dillards | (5.11) | 12 per month | 1.53 | 0.13 | 4.39 | (3.34) | 15.04 | |
| MAKSY | Marks Spencer Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.93 | (3.15) | 15.25 | |
| MAKSF | Marks and Spencer | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.66 | (8.25) | 17.35 | |
| KSS | Kohls Corp | 0.50 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.38 | (4.29) | 24.73 | |
| DDT | Dillards Capital Trust | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.21 | (0.20) | 0.67 | (0.43) | 1.73 | |
| CBD | Companhia Brasileira De | 0.03 | 1 per month | 2.42 | 0.17 | 6.56 | (4.97) | 19.48 | |
| LRENY | Lojas Renner SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.42 | 0.12 | 6.94 | (6.17) | 19.26 | |
| PMDKF | PT Mitra Adiperkasa | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.33 |
Macys Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Macys price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Macys using various technical indicators. When you analyze Macys charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Macys Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Macys stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Macys Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Macys based on analysis of Macys hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Macys's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Macys's related companies. | 2014 | 2020 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0943 | 0.0354 | 0.0186 | 0.023 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.2 | 0.21 | 0.81 | 0.48 |
Story Coverage note for Macys
The number of cover stories for Macys depends on current market conditions and Macys' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Macys is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Macys' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Macys Short Properties
Macys' future price predictability will typically decrease when Macys' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Macys Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Macys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Macys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 278.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Check out Macys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Broadline Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Macys. If investors know Macys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Macys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | Earnings Share 0.61 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Macys Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Macys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Macys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Macys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Macys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Macys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Macys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Macys is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Macys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.