Mercadolibre Stock Performance
| MELI Stock | USD 2,100 47.32 2.20% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.47, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, MercadoLibre will likely underperform. MercadoLibre right now secures a risk of 2.47%. Please verify MercadoLibre jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day typical price , to decide if MercadoLibre will be following its current price movements.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days MercadoLibre has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong essential indicators, MercadoLibre is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (2.20) | Five Day Return (7.45) | Year To Date Return 6.39 | Ten Year Return 2.1 K | All Time Return 7.3 K |
Dividend Date 2018-01-16 | Ex Dividend Date 2017-12-28 |
1 | Disposition of 400 shares by Aguzin Alejandro Nicolas of MercadoLibre at 1203.65 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/07/2025 |
2 | Discretionary transaction by Tolda Stelleo of 20000 shares of MercadoLibre subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/14/2025 |
3 | MercadoLibres LogisticsFintech Engine vs. Rising Skepticism Might Change The Case For Investing In MELI | 01/14/2026 |
4 | MercadoLibre Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Swings And DCF Undervaluation Signal | 01/21/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 3.8 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -8.3 B |
MercadoLibre | Build AI portfolio with MercadoLibre Stock |
MercadoLibre Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 212,833 in MercadoLibre on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2,843) from holding MercadoLibre or give up 1.34% of portfolio value over 90 days. MercadoLibre is currently generating 0.0079% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.4681% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than MercadoLibre, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
MercadoLibre Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of MercadoLibre Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2,100 | 90 days | 2,100 | about 48.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MercadoLibre to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 48.53 (This MercadoLibre probability density function shows the probability of MercadoLibre Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
MercadoLibre Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MercadoLibre
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MercadoLibre. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MercadoLibre Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MercadoLibre is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MercadoLibre's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MercadoLibre, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MercadoLibre within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 106.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
MercadoLibre Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MercadoLibre for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MercadoLibre can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Discretionary transaction by Tolda Stelleo of 20000 shares of MercadoLibre subject to Rule 16b-3 |
MercadoLibre Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MercadoLibre Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MercadoLibre's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MercadoLibre's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.8 B |
MercadoLibre Fundamentals Growth
MercadoLibre Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of MercadoLibre, and MercadoLibre fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on MercadoLibre Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.41 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.066 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.1 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 114.66 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 50.7 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 188.27 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 17.12 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 4.06 X | ||||
| Revenue | 20.78 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 13.19 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 3.21 B | ||||
| Net Income | 1.91 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.23 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 44.26 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 6.85 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 3.15 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.30 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 123.20 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 7.92 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 40.95 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 106.46 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 25.2 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 3.81 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 3.54 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 545.17 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 322.48 M | ||||
About MercadoLibre Performance
By evaluating MercadoLibre's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into MercadoLibre's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if MercadoLibre has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if MercadoLibre has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 8.68 | 6.51 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.09 | 0.10 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.28 | 0.15 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.09 | 0.07 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.40 | 0.42 |
Things to note about MercadoLibre performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about MercadoLibre for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for MercadoLibre help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Discretionary transaction by Tolda Stelleo of 20000 shares of MercadoLibre subject to Rule 16b-3 |
- Analyzing MercadoLibre's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether MercadoLibre's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining MercadoLibre's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating MercadoLibre's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of MercadoLibre's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of MercadoLibre's stock. These opinions can provide insight into MercadoLibre's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for MercadoLibre Stock analysis
When running MercadoLibre's price analysis, check to measure MercadoLibre's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MercadoLibre is operating at the current time. Most of MercadoLibre's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MercadoLibre's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MercadoLibre's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MercadoLibre to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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