Mid Penn Bancorp Stock Performance

MPB Stock  USD 33.42  0.55  1.62%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Mid Penn holds a performance score of 11. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.9, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Mid Penn returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Mid Penn is expected to follow. Please check Mid Penn's downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Mid Penn's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Mid Penn Bancorp are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unsteady basic indicators, Mid Penn sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.62)
Five Day Return
(0.27)
Year To Date Return
8.3
Ten Year Return
124.3
All Time Return
184.18
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0247
Payout Ratio
0.2781
Last Split Factor
105:100
Forward Dividend Rate
0.84
Dividend Date
2026-02-17
 
Mid Penn dividend paid on 24th of November 2025
11/24/2025
1
Mid Penn Bancorp Inc. Stock Analysis and Forecast - Short Selling Opportunities Learn to Trade Without Fear of Loss - earlytimes.in
12/01/2025
2
Acquisition by Mowery Theodore W of tradable shares of Mid Penn at 31.02 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2025
3
Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc. Completes Acquisition of Cumberland Advisors, Inc.
01/05/2026
4
Mid Penn Bancorp director Matthew De Soto acquires 104,719 in stock - MSN
01/16/2026
5
Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc. Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year Earnings, Declares 61st Consecutive Quarterly Dividend and Special Dividend
01/21/2026
6
Mid Penn Bancorp declares 0.22 dividend
01/22/2026
7
Mid Penn Bancorp Stock Rating Lowered by Wall Street Zen
01/26/2026
8
Acquisition by De Soto Matthew G of 257 shares of Mid Penn at 31.02 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
9
February 2026s Highlighted Stocks Estimated Below Intrinsic Value
02/03/2026
10
1st Colonial Bancorp, Inc. Receives Shareholder Approval for Merger With Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc.
02/11/2026
11
Acquisition by Rory Ritrievi of 365 shares of Mid Penn at 29.61 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/13/2026
 
Mid Penn dividend paid on 17th of February 2026
02/17/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow96.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-208.7 M
Free Cash Flow44.5 M

Mid Penn Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,908  in Mid Penn Bancorp on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  434.00  from holding Mid Penn Bancorp or generate 14.92% return on investment over 90 days. Mid Penn Bancorp is generating 0.2503% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.7059% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Mid, and above 95% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Mid Penn is expected to generate 2.28 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.28 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.17 per unit of risk.

Mid Penn Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Mid Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 33.42 90 days 33.42 
about 12.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mid Penn to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.72 (This Mid Penn Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Mid Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Mid Penn has a beta of 0.9. This indicates Mid Penn Bancorp market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Mid Penn is expected to follow. Additionally Mid Penn Bancorp has an alpha of 0.1747, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mid Penn Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mid Penn

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mid Penn Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.1033.8135.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.0837.4139.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.5232.2333.94
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
33.2236.5040.52
Details

Mid Penn Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mid Penn is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mid Penn's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mid Penn Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mid Penn within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.90
σ
Overall volatility
1.79
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Mid Penn Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mid Penn for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mid Penn Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mid Penn Bancorp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 17th of February 2026 Mid Penn paid $ 0.22 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 1st Colonial Bancorp, Inc. Receives Shareholder Approval for Merger With Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc.

Mid Penn Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mid Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mid Penn's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mid Penn's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments52.1 M

Mid Penn Fundamentals Growth

Mid Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Mid Penn, and Mid Penn fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Mid Stock performance.

About Mid Penn Performance

By analyzing Mid Penn's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Mid Penn's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Mid Penn has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Mid Penn has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.08  0.08 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.07  0.11 

Things to note about Mid Penn Bancorp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mid Penn for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Mid Penn Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mid Penn Bancorp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 17th of February 2026 Mid Penn paid $ 0.22 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 1st Colonial Bancorp, Inc. Receives Shareholder Approval for Merger With Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc.
Evaluating Mid Penn's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Mid Penn's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Mid Penn's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Mid Penn's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Mid Penn's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Mid Penn's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Mid Penn's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Mid Penn's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Mid Penn's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Mid Penn's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Mid Penn's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Mid Stock analysis

When running Mid Penn's price analysis, check to measure Mid Penn's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mid Penn is operating at the current time. Most of Mid Penn's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mid Penn's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mid Penn's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mid Penn to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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