Monolithic Power Systems Stock Performance

MPWR Stock  USD 1,068  4.40  0.41%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.9, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Monolithic Power will likely underperform. At this point, Monolithic Power Systems has a negative expected return of -0.0068%. Please make sure to verify Monolithic Power's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index , to decide if Monolithic Power Systems performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Monolithic Power Systems has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, Monolithic Power is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.41
Five Day Return
(2.24)
Year To Date Return
14.08
Ten Year Return
1.7 K
All Time Return
10.8 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0058
Payout Ratio
0.3656
Forward Dividend Rate
6.24
Dividend Date
2026-01-15
Ex Dividend Date
2025-12-31
1
Disposition of 200 shares by Maurice Sciammas of Monolithic Power at 986.81 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/05/2025
2
Disposition of 4530 shares by Maurice Sciammas of Monolithic Power subject to Rule 16b-3
11/13/2025
3
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01/07/2026
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Monolithic Power dividend paid on 15th of January 2026
01/15/2026
10
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01/16/2026
11
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Begin Period Cash Flow561.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities223 M

Monolithic Power Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  109,223  in Monolithic Power Systems on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2,409) from holding Monolithic Power Systems or give up 2.21% of portfolio value over 90 days. Monolithic Power Systems is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.4456% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Monolithic, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Monolithic Power is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.27 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Monolithic Power Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Monolithic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1,068 90 days 1,068 
nearly 4.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Monolithic Power to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.99 (This Monolithic Power Systems probability density function shows the probability of Monolithic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.9 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Monolithic Power will likely underperform. Additionally Monolithic Power Systems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Monolithic Power Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Monolithic Power

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Monolithic Power Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Monolithic Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0661,0681,071
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0511,0531,175
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,1111,1131,116
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1,0901,1981,330
Details

Monolithic Power Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Monolithic Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Monolithic Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Monolithic Power Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Monolithic Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.90
σ
Overall volatility
59.67
Ir
Information ratio 0

Monolithic Power Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Monolithic Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Monolithic Power Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Monolithic Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Monolithic Power is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Monolithic Power has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of January 2026 Monolithic Power paid $ 1.56 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Monolithic Power Systems Premium Valuation Is Well-Deserved - Seeking Alpha

Monolithic Power Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Monolithic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Monolithic Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Monolithic Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments862.9 M

Monolithic Power Fundamentals Growth

Monolithic Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Monolithic Power, and Monolithic Power fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Monolithic Stock performance.

About Monolithic Power Performance

Assessing Monolithic Power's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Monolithic Power's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Monolithic Power is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 139.77  102.37 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.45  0.47 
Return On Capital Employed 0.16  0.15 
Return On Assets 0.44  0.47 
Return On Equity 0.51  0.54 

Things to note about Monolithic Power Systems performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Monolithic Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Monolithic Power Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Monolithic Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Monolithic Power is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Monolithic Power has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of January 2026 Monolithic Power paid $ 1.56 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Monolithic Power Systems Premium Valuation Is Well-Deserved - Seeking Alpha
Evaluating Monolithic Power's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Monolithic Power's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Monolithic Power's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Monolithic Power's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Monolithic Power's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Monolithic Power's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Monolithic Power's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Monolithic Power's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Monolithic Power's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Monolithic Power's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Monolithic Power's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Monolithic Stock Analysis

When running Monolithic Power's price analysis, check to measure Monolithic Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Monolithic Power is operating at the current time. Most of Monolithic Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Monolithic Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Monolithic Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Monolithic Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.