Monolithic Power Systems Stock Technical Analysis

MPWR Stock  USD 1,162  66.29  6.05%   
As of the 29th of January, Monolithic Power secures the Downside Deviation of 3.07, risk adjusted performance of 0.0531, and Mean Deviation of 1.84. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Monolithic Power Systems, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify Monolithic Power Systems standard deviation, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and kurtosis to decide if Monolithic Power Systems is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 1161.78 per share. Given that Monolithic Power Systems has jensen alpha of 0.0364, we recommend you to check Monolithic Power's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Monolithic Power Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Monolithic, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MonolithicMonolithic Power's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

Monolithic Power Analyst Consensus

Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
1203.21Strong Buy17Odds
Monolithic Power Systems current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Monolithic analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Monolithic stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Monolithic Power Systems, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Monolithic conference calls.
Monolithic Analyst Advice Details
Can Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment industry sustain growth momentum? Does Monolithic have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Monolithic Power. Expected growth trajectory for Monolithic significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Monolithic Power demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.258
Dividend Share
5.93
Earnings Share
39.04
Revenue Per Share
55.449
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.189
Investors evaluate Monolithic Power Systems using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Monolithic Power's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Monolithic Power's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Monolithic Power's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Monolithic Power represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Monolithic Power's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

Monolithic Power 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Monolithic Power's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Monolithic Power.
0.00
10/31/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
01/29/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Monolithic Power on October 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Monolithic Power Systems or generate 0.0% return on investment in Monolithic Power over 90 days. Monolithic Power is related to or competes with NXP Semiconductors, ASE Industrial, Block, Western Digital, Ubiquiti Networks, Garmin, and Take Two. Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. engages in the design, development, marketing, and sale of semiconductor-based power elec... More

Monolithic Power Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Monolithic Power's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Monolithic Power Systems upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Monolithic Power Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Monolithic Power's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Monolithic Power's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Monolithic Power historical prices to predict the future Monolithic Power's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Monolithic Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,1581,1611,163
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0821,0841,278
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,1911,1931,195
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1,0951,2031,336
Details

Monolithic Power January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators

Monolithic Power Systems Backtested Returns

Monolithic Power appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Monolithic Power Systems has Sharpe Ratio of 0.11, which conveys that the firm had a 0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Monolithic Power, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Monolithic Power's Mean Deviation of 1.84, downside deviation of 3.07, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0531 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Monolithic Power holds a performance score of 8. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.71, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Monolithic Power will likely underperform. Please check Monolithic Power's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index , to make a quick decision on whether Monolithic Power's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.23  

Weak predictability

Monolithic Power Systems has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Monolithic Power time series from 31st of October 2025 to 15th of December 2025 and 15th of December 2025 to 29th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Monolithic Power Systems price movement. The serial correlation of 0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current Monolithic Power price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.23
Spearman Rank Test-0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4784.33
Monolithic Power technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Monolithic Power technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Monolithic Power trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Monolithic Power Systems Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Monolithic Power Systems across different markets.

About Monolithic Power Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Monolithic Power Systems on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Monolithic Power Systems based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Monolithic Power Systems price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Monolithic Power Systems. By analyzing Monolithic Power's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Monolithic Power's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Monolithic Power specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0061880.0083680.0096230.0121
Price To Sales Ratio16.4913.0314.9811.31

Monolithic Power January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Monolithic help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Monolithic from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Monolithic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Monolithic Power January 29, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Monolithic stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Additional Tools for Monolithic Stock Analysis

When running Monolithic Power's price analysis, check to measure Monolithic Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Monolithic Power is operating at the current time. Most of Monolithic Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Monolithic Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Monolithic Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Monolithic Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.