Monolithic Power Systems Stock Technical Analysis
| MPWR Stock | USD 1,188 15.14 1.29% |
As of the 19th of February, Monolithic Power secures the Mean Deviation of 1.96, risk adjusted performance of 0.1176, and Downside Deviation of 2.92. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Monolithic Power Systems, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify Monolithic Power Systems standard deviation, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and kurtosis to decide if Monolithic Power Systems is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 1188.32 per share. Given that Monolithic Power Systems has jensen alpha of 0.2849, we recommend you to check Monolithic Power's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Monolithic Power Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Monolithic, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MonolithicMonolithic | Build AI portfolio with Monolithic Stock |
Monolithic Power Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 1328.29 | Strong Buy | 17 | Odds |
Most Monolithic analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Monolithic stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Monolithic Power Systems, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Monolithic conference calls.
Can Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment industry sustain growth momentum? Does Monolithic have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Monolithic Power. Expected growth trajectory for Monolithic significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Monolithic Power demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.88) | Dividend Share 6.24 | Earnings Share 12.79 | Revenue Per Share 58.092 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.208 |
Investors evaluate Monolithic Power Systems using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Monolithic Power's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Monolithic Power's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Monolithic Power's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Monolithic Power represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Monolithic Power's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Monolithic Power 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Monolithic Power's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Monolithic Power.
| 11/21/2025 |
| 02/19/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Monolithic Power on November 21, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Monolithic Power Systems or generate 0.0% return on investment in Monolithic Power over 90 days. Monolithic Power is related to or competes with Sunrun, CVR Energy, Murphy Oil, Valvoline, California Resources, Valaris, and Magnolia Oil. Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. engages in the design, development, marketing, and sale of semiconductor-based power elec... More
Monolithic Power Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Monolithic Power's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Monolithic Power Systems upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.92 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1218 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.47) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.79 |
Monolithic Power Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Monolithic Power's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Monolithic Power's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Monolithic Power historical prices to predict the future Monolithic Power's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1176 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2849 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.232 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.108 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1924 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Monolithic Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Monolithic Power February 19, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1176 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2024 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.31 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.92 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 715.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Variance | 6.71 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1218 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2849 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.232 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.108 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1924 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.47) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.79 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.52 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.32 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.85) | |||
| Skewness | (0.12) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.0521 |
Monolithic Power Systems Backtested Returns
Monolithic Power appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Monolithic Power Systems has Sharpe Ratio of 0.22, which conveys that the firm had a 0.22 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Monolithic Power's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.56% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise Monolithic Power's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1176, mean deviation of 1.96, and Downside Deviation of 2.92 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Monolithic Power holds a performance score of 17. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.83, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Monolithic Power will likely underperform. Please check Monolithic Power's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index , to make a quick decision on whether Monolithic Power's current price movements will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.12 |
Insignificant predictability
Monolithic Power Systems has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Monolithic Power time series from 21st of November 2025 to 5th of January 2026 and 5th of January 2026 to 19th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Monolithic Power Systems price movement. The serial correlation of 0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current Monolithic Power price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.12 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.07 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 7589.28 |
Monolithic Power technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Monolithic Power Systems Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Monolithic Power Systems volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Monolithic Power Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Monolithic Power Systems on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Monolithic Power Systems based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Monolithic Power Systems price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Monolithic Power Systems. By analyzing Monolithic Power's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Monolithic Power's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Monolithic Power specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Monolithic Power February 19, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Monolithic help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Monolithic from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Monolithic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1176 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2024 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.31 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.92 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 715.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Variance | 6.71 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1218 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2849 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.232 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.108 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1924 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.47) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.79 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.52 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.32 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.85) | |||
| Skewness | (0.12) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.0521 |
Monolithic Power February 19, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Monolithic stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 9,074 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.50 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 1,188 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 1,188 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 8.25 |
Additional Tools for Monolithic Stock Analysis
When running Monolithic Power's price analysis, check to measure Monolithic Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Monolithic Power is operating at the current time. Most of Monolithic Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Monolithic Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Monolithic Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Monolithic Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.