Nio Class A Stock Performance

NIO Stock  USD 4.59  0.05  1.08%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.79, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Nio's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nio is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Nio Class A has a negative expected return of -0.72%. Please make sure to verify Nio's information ratio, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and price action indicator , to decide if Nio Class A performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Nio Class A has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.18)
Five Day Return
(3.16)
Year To Date Return
(10.70)
Ten Year Return
(30.45)
All Time Return
(30.45)
Dividend Date
2016-05-02
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Begin Period Cash Flow38.6 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5 B

Nio Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  725.00  in Nio Class A on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (266.00) from holding Nio Class A or give up 36.69% of portfolio value over 90 days. Nio Class A is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.8038% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 25% of stocks are less volatile than Nio, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Nio is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.71 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.26 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Nio Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Nio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.59 90 days 4.59 
about 84.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nio to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 84.93 (This Nio Class A probability density function shows the probability of Nio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Nio has a beta of 0.79. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nio average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nio Class A will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nio Class A has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Nio Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nio Class A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.764.597.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.033.866.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.044.877.70
Details
27 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.076.677.40
Details

Nio Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nio Class A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.64
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.79
σ
Overall volatility
0.90
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Nio Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nio Class A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nio Class A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nio Class A has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 65.73 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (22.66 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 8.18 B.
Nio Class A has about 19.89 B in cash with (7.85 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 27.32, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Fresh Analyst Optimism On NIOs Europe Push And New Models Might Change The Case For Investing In NIO

Nio Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments22.1 B

Nio Fundamentals Growth

Nio Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Nio, and Nio fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Nio Stock performance.

About Nio Performance

By examining Nio's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Nio's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Nio is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 50.22  53.39 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.19)(0.20)
Return On Capital Employed(0.43)(0.46)
Return On Assets(0.19)(0.20)
Return On Equity(4.37)(4.15)

Things to note about Nio Class A performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Nio Class A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nio Class A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nio Class A has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 65.73 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (22.66 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 8.18 B.
Nio Class A has about 19.89 B in cash with (7.85 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 27.32, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Fresh Analyst Optimism On NIOs Europe Push And New Models Might Change The Case For Investing In NIO
Evaluating Nio's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Nio's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Nio's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Nio's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Nio's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Nio's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Nio's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Nio's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Nio's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Nio's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Nio's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Nio Class A offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Nio's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Nio Class A Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Nio Class A Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Nio Class A. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Will Automobile Manufacturers sector continue expanding? Could Nio diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nio. Anticipated expansion of Nio directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Nio data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
(1.66)
Revenue Per Share
32.891
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.167
Return On Assets
(0.12)
Return On Equity
(1.60)
Nio Class A's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Nio's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Nio's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Nio's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Nio's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nio should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Nio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.