Northern Oil Gas Stock Performance
| NOG Stock | USD 24.74 0.08 0.32% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Northern Oil holds a performance score of 7. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.32, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Northern Oil's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Northern Oil is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Northern Oil's expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Northern Oil's current price movements will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Northern Oil Gas are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unfluctuating basic indicators, Northern Oil reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.89 | Five Day Return 4.9 | Year To Date Return 12.77 | Ten Year Return (19.15) | All Time Return (18.09) |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0725 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 1:10 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.8 | Dividend Date 2026-01-30 |
1 | Isthmus Partners LLC Grows Stock Holdings in Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. NOG | 12/02/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by Roy Easley of 10000 shares of Northern Oil at 23.3837 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/11/2025 |
3 | NOG Provides Post-Transaction Hedge Profile Update | 12/17/2025 |
4 | Price Over Earnings Overview Northern Oil Gas | 12/22/2025 |
5 | Copeland Capital Management LLC Sells 111,723 Shares of Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. NOG - MarketBeat | 12/30/2025 |
6 | This 8-Yielding Stock Offers a Risky but High Dividend as Energy Uncertainty Rises | 01/15/2026 |
7 | Register Financial Advisors LLC Purchases 82,033 Shares of Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. NOG | 01/21/2026 |
8 | Northern Oil and Gas stock price target lowered by Raymond James - Investing.com | 01/26/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 8.2 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1.7 B |
Northern Oil Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,160 in Northern Oil Gas on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 313.50 from holding Northern Oil Gas or generate 14.51% return on investment over 90 days. Northern Oil Gas is generating 0.2566% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.6401% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 23% of stocks are less volatile than Northern, and above 95% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Northern Oil Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Northern Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 24.74 | 90 days | 24.74 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Northern Oil to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Northern Oil Gas probability density function shows the probability of Northern Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Northern Oil has a beta of 0.32. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Northern Oil average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Northern Oil Gas will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Northern Oil Gas has an alpha of 0.2531, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Northern Oil Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Northern Oil
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northern Oil Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Northern Oil Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Northern Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Northern Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Northern Oil Gas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Northern Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Northern Oil Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Northern Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Northern Oil Gas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Northern Oil Gas has 2.37 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.22, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Northern Oil Gas has a current ratio of 0.59, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Northern to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns. | |
| Over 97.0% of Northern Oil shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Northern Oil and Gas stock price target lowered by Raymond James - Investing.com |
Northern Oil Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Northern Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Northern Oil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Northern Oil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 101.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.9 M |
Northern Oil Fundamentals Growth
Northern Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Northern Oil, and Northern Oil fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Northern Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0795 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.11 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.42 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 4.69 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 97.6 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 9.03 X | |||
| Price To Book | 1.06 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 1.18 X | |||
| Revenue | 2.16 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 1.58 B | |||
| EBITDA | 1.58 B | |||
| Net Income | 520.31 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 8.93 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.02 X | |||
| Total Debt | 2.37 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 7.22 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 0.60 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 23.11 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.41 B | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.82 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 2.42 B | |||
| Total Asset | 5.6 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 442.52 M | |||
| Working Capital | (43.53 M) | |||
| Current Asset | 850.93 K | |||
| Current Liabilities | 1.14 M | |||
About Northern Oil Performance
By analyzing Northern Oil's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Northern Oil's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Northern Oil has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Northern Oil has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 210.37 | 199.85 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.08 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.19 | 0.20 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.08 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.20 | 0.19 |
Things to note about Northern Oil Gas performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Northern Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Northern Oil Gas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Northern Oil Gas has 2.37 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.22, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Northern Oil Gas has a current ratio of 0.59, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Northern to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns. | |
| Over 97.0% of Northern Oil shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Northern Oil and Gas stock price target lowered by Raymond James - Investing.com |
- Analyzing Northern Oil's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Northern Oil's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Northern Oil's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Northern Oil's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Northern Oil's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Northern Oil's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Northern Oil's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Northern Stock analysis
When running Northern Oil's price analysis, check to measure Northern Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northern Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Northern Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northern Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northern Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northern Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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