Norfolk Southern Stock Performance

NSC Stock  USD 285.20  0.73  0.26%   
Norfolk Southern has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.79, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Norfolk Southern's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Norfolk Southern is expected to be smaller as well. Norfolk Southern right now secures a risk of 1.09%. Please verify Norfolk Southern expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to decide if Norfolk Southern will be following its current price movements.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Norfolk Southern are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Norfolk Southern is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.56)
Five Day Return
(1.71)
Year To Date Return
(1.16)
Ten Year Return
303.5
All Time Return
K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.019
Payout Ratio
0.4173
Last Split Factor
3:1
Forward Dividend Rate
5.4
Dividend Date
2025-11-20
 
Norfolk Southern dividend paid on 20th of November 2025
11/20/2025
1
Norfolk Southern Evaluating Valuation After a Strong Year-to-Date Share Price Rally
12/18/2025
 
Norfolk Southern dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
3
Railroads and their regulators thwart safety fixes, costing lives
01/12/2026
4
Shippers told autonomous technology could lure freight from trucks to rail
01/20/2026
5
Norfolk Southern Launches East Edge Double-Stack Service Connecting Chicago and New England
01/21/2026
6
CSX railroad profit slips 2 percent as shipping demand remained weak and severance costs hurt results
01/22/2026
7
CSX sees small drop in revenue, slight gain in volume
01/23/2026
8
Beaver County residents may stop paying emissions tax
01/26/2026
9
Union Pacific Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
01/27/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.6 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2.8 B

Norfolk Southern Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  28,202  in Norfolk Southern on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  317.50  from holding Norfolk Southern or generate 1.13% return on investment over 90 days. Norfolk Southern is generating 0.0242% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.0889% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 9% of stocks are less volatile than Norfolk, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Norfolk Southern is expected to generate 2.19 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.44 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Norfolk Southern Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Norfolk Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 285.20 90 days 285.20 
about 68.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Norfolk Southern to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 68.39 (This Norfolk Southern probability density function shows the probability of Norfolk Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Norfolk Southern has a beta of 0.79. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Norfolk Southern average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Norfolk Southern will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Norfolk Southern has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Norfolk Southern Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Norfolk Southern

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Norfolk Southern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Norfolk Southern's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
284.24285.33286.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
256.68299.00300.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
286.15287.24288.32
Details
27 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
282.67310.63344.80
Details

Norfolk Southern Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Norfolk Southern is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Norfolk Southern's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Norfolk Southern, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Norfolk Southern within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.79
σ
Overall volatility
5.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Norfolk Southern Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Norfolk Southern for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Norfolk Southern can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Norfolk Southern has 17.48 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.2, which is OK given its current industry classification. Norfolk Southern has a current ratio of 0.95, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Norfolk to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
Norfolk Southern has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 78.0% of Norfolk Southern shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 Norfolk Southern paid $ 1.35 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Union Pacific Q4 Earnings Call Highlights

Norfolk Southern Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Norfolk Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Norfolk Southern's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Norfolk Southern's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding226.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

Norfolk Southern Fundamentals Growth

Norfolk Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Norfolk Southern, and Norfolk Southern fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Norfolk Stock performance.

About Norfolk Southern Performance

By analyzing Norfolk Southern's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Norfolk Southern's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Norfolk Southern has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Norfolk Southern has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 13.91  16.23 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.08  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.16  0.11 

Things to note about Norfolk Southern performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Norfolk Southern for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Norfolk Southern help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Norfolk Southern has 17.48 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.2, which is OK given its current industry classification. Norfolk Southern has a current ratio of 0.95, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Norfolk to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
Norfolk Southern has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 78.0% of Norfolk Southern shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 Norfolk Southern paid $ 1.35 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Union Pacific Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
Evaluating Norfolk Southern's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Norfolk Southern's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Norfolk Southern's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Norfolk Southern's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Norfolk Southern's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Norfolk Southern's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Norfolk Southern's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Norfolk Southern's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Norfolk Southern's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Norfolk Southern's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Norfolk Southern's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Norfolk Stock analysis

When running Norfolk Southern's price analysis, check to measure Norfolk Southern's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Norfolk Southern is operating at the current time. Most of Norfolk Southern's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Norfolk Southern's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Norfolk Southern's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Norfolk Southern to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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