Orange County Bancorp Stock Performance

OBT Stock  USD 35.31  0.30  0.86%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Orange County holds a performance score of 27. The company holds a Beta of 0.78, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Orange County's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Orange County is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Orange County's standard deviation, expected short fall, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Orange County's historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Orange County Bancorp are ranked lower than 27 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively unsteady fundamental drivers, Orange County unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.86
Five Day Return
0.28
Year To Date Return
24.42
Ten Year Return
196.72
All Time Return
702.5
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0161
Payout Ratio
0.1717
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.57
Dividend Date
2025-12-16
1
Disposition of tradable shares by Gregory Sousa of Orange County at 25.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/02/2025
2
Acquisition by Morrison William D of 1124 shares of Orange County subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
 
Orange County dividend paid on 16th of December 2025
12/16/2025
3
Insider Trading
12/31/2025
4
Acquisition by Tirado Olga Luz of 176 shares of Orange County subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
5
What makes Orange County Bancorp Inc. stock attractive to growth funds - July 2025 Breakouts High Accuracy Investment Signals - ulpravda.ru
01/08/2026
6
Acquisition by Rowley Richard B of tradable shares of Orange County subject to Rule 16b-3
01/09/2026
7
Orange County Bancorp Trading 0.4 percent Higher - Whats Next - MarketBeat
01/12/2026
8
Street Watch Will Orange County Bancorp Inc. outperform its industry peers - July 2025 Sector Moves Real-Time Market Trend Scan - baoquankhu1.vn
01/16/2026
9
Decliners Report Should I buy WGRX stock now - 2025 Macro Impact AI Powered Market Entry Strategies - baoquankhu1.vn
01/26/2026
10
Treasury Yields Can Orange County Bancorp Inc. stock double in the next year - Portfolio Gains Report Weekly Sector Rotation Insights - baoquankhu1.vn
02/02/2026
11
Orange County Bancorp price target raised to 36 from 32 at Piper Sandler - TipRanks
02/05/2026
12
Institutional Investors Have a Lot Riding on Orange County Bancorp, Inc. With 55 percent Ownership -
02/09/2026
13
Critical Review Orange County Bancorp vs. Shore Bancshares
02/13/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow147.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-29.4 M

Orange County Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,494  in Orange County Bancorp on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,037  from holding Orange County Bancorp or generate 41.58% return on investment over 90 days. Orange County Bancorp is generating 0.5859% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.7127% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Orange, and above 89% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Orange County is expected to generate 2.22 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.22 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.34 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Orange County Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Orange Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 35.31 90 days 35.31 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orange County to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Orange County Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Orange Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Orange County has a beta of 0.78. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Orange County average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Orange County Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Orange County Bancorp has an alpha of 0.4059, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Orange County Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Orange County

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orange County Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.6635.3737.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.7838.3540.06
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
34.5838.0042.18
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.810.820.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Orange County. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Orange County's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Orange County's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Orange County Bancorp.

Orange County Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orange County is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orange County's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orange County Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orange County within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
2.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Orange County Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orange County for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orange County Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Critical Review Orange County Bancorp vs. Shore Bancshares

Orange County Fundamentals Growth

Orange Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Orange County, and Orange County fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Orange Stock performance.

About Orange County Performance

Assessing Orange County's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Orange County's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Orange County is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.06 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.15  0.07 

Things to note about Orange County Bancorp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Orange County for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Orange County Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Critical Review Orange County Bancorp vs. Shore Bancshares
Evaluating Orange County's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Orange County's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Orange County's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Orange County's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Orange County's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Orange County's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Orange County's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Orange County's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Orange County's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Orange County's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Orange County's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Orange Stock Analysis

When running Orange County's price analysis, check to measure Orange County's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orange County is operating at the current time. Most of Orange County's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orange County's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orange County's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orange County to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.