Ollies Bargain Outlet Stock Performance

OLLI Stock  USD 113.70  1.39  1.21%   
The company holds a Beta of 1.3, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ollies Bargain will likely underperform. At this point, Ollies Bargain Outlet has a negative expected return of -0.1%. Please make sure to check Ollies Bargain's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and day typical price , to decide if Ollies Bargain Outlet performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Ollies Bargain Outlet has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's essential indicators remain strong and the recent confusion on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-lasting gains for the firm traders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.21)
Five Day Return
1.46
Year To Date Return
2.14
Ten Year Return
434.81
All Time Return
437.59
1
Norges Bank Purchases Shares of 634,557 Ollies Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. OLLI
12/05/2025
2
Ollies Reports Q3 CY2025 In Line With Expectations But Stock Drops
12/09/2025
3
This Cummins Analyst Turns Bullish Here Are Top 2 Upgrades For Monday
12/22/2025
4
In-Depth Analysis Amazon.com Versus Competitors In Broadline Retail Industry
01/08/2026
5
A Look At Ollies Bargain Outlet Valuation After Congress Trims Its Stake
01/12/2026
6
Pullen Investment Management LLC Sells 7,025 Shares of Ollies Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. OLLI
01/14/2026
7
Acquisition by Kevin McLain of 1091 shares of Ollies Bargain subject to Rule 16b-3
01/20/2026
8
2 of Wall Streets Favorite Stocks with Promising Prospects and 1 That Underwhelm
01/27/2026
9
Ollies Bargain Outlet Holdings sheds 3.1 percent this week, as yearly returns fall more in line with earnings growth
02/02/2026
10
Disposition of 1662 shares by Van Der Valk Eric of Ollies Bargain at 108.34 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/03/2026
11
Warby Parker vs. Ollies Bargain Outlet Head-To-Head Comparison
02/05/2026
12
Disposition of 1126 shares by John Swygert of Ollies Bargain at 112.06 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/09/2026
13
John Swygert Sells 1,126 Shares of Ollies Bargain Outlet Stock - MarketBeat
02/11/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow266.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-255.3 M

Ollies Bargain Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  12,289  in Ollies Bargain Outlet on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (919.00) from holding Ollies Bargain Outlet or give up 7.48% of portfolio value over 90 days. Ollies Bargain Outlet is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.0953% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Ollies, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ollies Bargain is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.74 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Ollies Bargain Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ollies Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 113.70 90 days 113.70 
about 62.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ollies Bargain to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 62.57 (This Ollies Bargain Outlet probability density function shows the probability of Ollies Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.3 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ollies Bargain will likely underperform. Additionally Ollies Bargain Outlet has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ollies Bargain Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ollies Bargain

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ollies Bargain Outlet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
111.45113.55115.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
102.33128.06130.16
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
128.61141.33156.88
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.850.880.91
Details

Ollies Bargain Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ollies Bargain is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ollies Bargain's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ollies Bargain Outlet, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ollies Bargain within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.30
σ
Overall volatility
5.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Ollies Bargain Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ollies Bargain for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ollies Bargain Outlet can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ollies Bargain generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ollies Bargain has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: John Swygert Sells 1,126 Shares of Ollies Bargain Outlet Stock - MarketBeat

Ollies Bargain Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ollies Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ollies Bargain's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ollies Bargain's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding61.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments428.7 M

Ollies Bargain Fundamentals Growth

Ollies Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ollies Bargain, and Ollies Bargain fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ollies Stock performance.

About Ollies Bargain Performance

By evaluating Ollies Bargain's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Ollies Bargain's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Ollies Bargain has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ollies Bargain has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 170.88  162.62 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.12  0.18 
Return On Capital Employed 0.10  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.11  0.09 

Things to note about Ollies Bargain Outlet performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ollies Bargain for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ollies Bargain Outlet help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ollies Bargain generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ollies Bargain has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: John Swygert Sells 1,126 Shares of Ollies Bargain Outlet Stock - MarketBeat
Evaluating Ollies Bargain's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ollies Bargain's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ollies Bargain's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ollies Bargain's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ollies Bargain's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ollies Bargain's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ollies Bargain's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ollies Bargain's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ollies Bargain's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ollies Bargain's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ollies Bargain's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Ollies Bargain's price analysis, check to measure Ollies Bargain's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ollies Bargain is operating at the current time. Most of Ollies Bargain's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ollies Bargain's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ollies Bargain's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ollies Bargain to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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