Ollies Bargain Outlet Stock Analysis

OLLI Stock  USD 94.61  3.86  4.25%   
Ollies Bargain Outlet is overvalued with Real Value of 89.3 and Target Price of 83.93. The main objective of Ollies Bargain stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Ollies Bargain Outlet is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Ollies Bargain's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Ollies Bargain stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Ollies Bargain's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ollies Bargain Outlet. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Ollies Stock Analysis Notes

About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Ollies Bargain was now reported as 25.91. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.08. Ollies Bargain Outlet had not issued any dividends in recent years. Ollies Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of brand name merchandise. Ollies Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania. Ollies Bargain operates under Discount Stores classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 4700 people. To find out more about Ollies Bargain Outlet contact the company at 717 657 2300 or learn more at https://www.ollies.us.

Ollies Bargain Quarterly Total Revenue

578.38 Million

Ollies Bargain Outlet Investment Alerts

Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: B. Metzler seel. Sohn Co. Holding AG Buys Shares of ,781 Ollies Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.

Ollies Bargain Outlet Upcoming and Recent Events

Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Ollies Bargain previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
27th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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5th of June 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of January 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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27th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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31st of October 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of January 2023
Last Financial Announcement
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Ollies Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Ollies Bargain's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2016-12-07
2016-10-310.140.170.0321 
2016-08-31
2016-07-310.180.210.0316 
2016-06-01
2016-04-300.170.20.0317 
View All Earnings Estimates

Ollies Bargain Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Ollies Bargain's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Ollies Bargain's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Ollies Bargain's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Ollies Bargain's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Ollies Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
1.2 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.1 M
Geneva Capital Management2024-09-30
1.1 M
Junto Capital Management Lp2024-09-30
883.6 K
Aqr Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
814.8 K
Fred Alger Management, Llc2024-09-30
772.1 K
Hood River Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
766 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
753.7 K
Norges Bank2024-06-30
738.9 K
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
8.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
5.8 M
Note, although Ollies Bargain's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Ollies Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 5.8 B.

Ollies Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.09 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.11 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.11.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.11  0.11 
Return On Capital Employed 0.12  0.08 
Return On Assets 0.08  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.06 

Management Efficiency

Ollies Bargain Outlet has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0701 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0701 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.1355 %, meaning that it created $0.1355 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Ollies Bargain's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Ollies Bargain manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to decrease to 0.11. The current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to decrease to 0.08. As of now, Ollies Bargain's Intangibles To Total Assets are decreasing as compared to previous years. The Ollies Bargain's current Debt To Assets is estimated to increase to 0.35, while Total Assets are projected to decrease to under 1.6 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 24.43  7.83 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 13.49 (4.92)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 18.49  19.91 
Price Book Value Ratio 3.07  2.70 
Enterprise Value Multiple 18.49  19.91 
Price Fair Value 3.07  2.70 
Enterprise Value1.3 B1.1 B
The decision-making processes within Ollies Bargain are key to its success in a competitive market. By evaluating these processes, we assess the stock's potential for future gains.
Operating Margin
0.1051
Profit Margin
0.0919
Beta
0.844
Return On Assets
0.0701
Return On Equity
0.1355

Technical Drivers

As of the 25th of November, Ollies Bargain holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.0009), variance of 4.57, and Coefficient Of Variation of (10,465). Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Ollies Bargain, as well as the relationship between them.

Ollies Bargain Outlet Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was eleven with a total number of output elements of fifty. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Ollies Bargain middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Ollies Bargain Outlet. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Ollies Bargain Outlet Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Ollies Bargain insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Ollies Bargain's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Ollies Bargain insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
James Comitale over a month ago
Disposition of 705 shares by James Comitale of Ollies Bargain subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kevin McLain over three months ago
Disposition of 11340 shares by Kevin McLain of Ollies Bargain at 41.49 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kevin McLain over three months ago
Disposition of 200 shares by Kevin McLain of Ollies Bargain at 84.5 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Hendrickson Thomas over three months ago
Disposition of 4500 shares by Hendrickson Thomas of Ollies Bargain at 11.54 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Hendrickson Thomas over six months ago
Disposition of 5000 shares by Hendrickson Thomas of Ollies Bargain at 11.54 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Robert Helm over six months ago
Disposition of 170 shares by Robert Helm of Ollies Bargain at 78.76 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Robert Helm over six months ago
Disposition of 2575 shares by Robert Helm of Ollies Bargain at 57.98 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
John Swygert over six months ago
Disposition of 9257 shares by John Swygert of Ollies Bargain subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Van Der Valk Eric over six months ago
Disposition of 3687 shares by Van Der Valk Eric of Ollies Bargain at 80.11 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
John Swygert over six months ago
Exercise or conversion by John Swygert of 4146 shares of Ollies Bargain subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Van Der Valk Eric over a year ago
Exercise or conversion by Van Der Valk Eric of 5157 shares of Ollies Bargain subject to Rule 16b-3
 
John Swygert over a year ago
Exercise or conversion by John Swygert of 3549 shares of Ollies Bargain subject to Rule 16b-3

Ollies Bargain Outstanding Bonds

Ollies Bargain issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Ollies Bargain Outlet uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Ollies bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Ollies Bargain Outlet has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Ollies Bargain Predictive Daily Indicators

Ollies Bargain intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Ollies Bargain stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Ollies Bargain Corporate Filings

F4
21st of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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F4
25th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
19th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
18th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
29th of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
31st of July 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
19th of July 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F3
27th of June 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify

Ollies Bargain Forecast Models

Ollies Bargain's time-series forecasting models are one of many Ollies Bargain's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Ollies Bargain's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Ollies Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Ollies Bargain prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Ollies shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Ollies Bargain. By using and applying Ollies Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Ollies entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.12  0.07 
Operating Profit Margin 0.11  0.10 
Net Profit Margin 0.09  0.04 
Gross Profit Margin 0.40  0.40 

Current Ollies Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Ollies analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Ollies analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
83.93Strong Buy14Odds
Ollies Bargain Outlet current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Ollies analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Ollies stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Ollies Bargain Outlet, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Ollies conference calls.
Ollies Analyst Advice Details

Ollies Stock Analysis Indicators

Ollies Bargain Outlet stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Ollies Bargain stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Ollies Bargain shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Ollies Bargain stock analysis, traders can identify Ollies Bargain position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow210.6 M
Long Term DebtM
Common Stock Shares Outstanding62.1 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.5 B
Tax Provision61 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.162
Property Plant And Equipment Net745.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments353.2 M
Cash266.3 M
Accounts Payable128.1 M
Net Debt222.5 M
50 Day M A94.786
Total Current Liabilities315.6 M
Other Operating Expenses1.9 B
Non Current Assets Total1.4 B
Forward Price Earnings25.974
Non Currrent Assets Other2.2 M
Stock Based Compensation12.2 M

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When running Ollies Bargain's price analysis, check to measure Ollies Bargain's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ollies Bargain is operating at the current time. Most of Ollies Bargain's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ollies Bargain's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ollies Bargain's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ollies Bargain to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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