Omada Health Common Stock Performance
| OMDA Stock | 11.31 0.08 0.71% |
The company holds a Beta of 0.82, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Omada Health's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Omada Health is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Omada Health Common has a negative expected return of -0.8%. Please make sure to check Omada Health's potential upside, day median price, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and accumulation distribution , to decide if Omada Health Common performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Omada Health Common has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.71 | Five Day Return (5.75) | Year To Date Return (24.09) | Ten Year Return (50.83) | All Time Return (50.83) |
1 | Disposition of 146257 shares by Root Jonathan D of Omada Health, subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/02/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 2006 shares by Steven Cook of Omada Health, at 17.49 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/05/2025 |
3 | Disposition of 9266 shares by Sean Duffy of Omada Health, at 15.3657 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/10/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 5618 shares by Shao Wei-li of Omada Health at 16.1349 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/29/2025 |
5 | Acquisition by Hilleman Jeryl L of 1601 shares of Omada Health subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/05/2026 |
6 | Omada Healths GLP-1 Behavior Change Companion Programs Help Drive Lasting, Long-Term Weight Loss | 01/08/2026 |
7 | Disposition of 230479 shares by Sean Duffy of Omada Health at 2.55 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/12/2026 |
8 | Disposition of 40796 shares by Sean Duffy of Omada Health at 2.55 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/13/2026 |
9 | Acquisition by Sean Duffy of 230479 shares of Omada Health at 2.55 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/14/2026 |
10 | Omada Health CEO Sells 3,595,472.40 in Stock | 01/15/2026 |
11 | Disposition of 40796 shares by Sean Duffy of Omada Health at 15.9519 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/16/2026 |
12 | Needham Company LLC Reaffirms Buy Rating for Omada Health | 01/22/2026 |
13 | Omada Health to Announce Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results and Host Conference Call on March 5, 2026 | 02/09/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 115.6 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -3.9 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | -38 M |
Omada Health Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,946 in Omada Health Common on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (815.00) from holding Omada Health Common or give up 41.88% of portfolio value over 90 days. Omada Health Common is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.0682% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 36% of stocks are less volatile than Omada, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Omada Health Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Omada Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 11.31 | 90 days | 11.31 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Omada Health to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Omada Health Common probability density function shows the probability of Omada Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Omada Health Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Omada Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Omada Health Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Omada Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Omada Health Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Omada Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Omada Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Omada Health Common, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Omada Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.89 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Omada Health Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Omada Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Omada Health Common can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Omada Health Common generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Omada Health Common has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 169.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 117.43 M. | |
| Omada Health generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Omada Health Common has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Omada Health to Announce Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results and Host Conference Call on March 5, 2026 |
Omada Health Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Omada Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Omada Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Omada Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 55.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 76.4 M |
Omada Health Fundamentals Growth
Omada Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Omada Health, and Omada Health fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Omada Stock performance.
| Profit Margin | (0.20) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.15) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.4 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 55.74 M | ||||
| Price To Sales | 5.32 X | ||||
| Revenue | 169.8 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 117.43 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (37.83 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (47.14 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 30.19 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (46.65) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (34.18 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.79) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.01 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 150.89 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (443.97 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 59.11 M | ||||
About Omada Health Performance
By analyzing Omada Health's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Omada Health's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Omada Health has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Omada Health has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 20.67 | 25.96 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.32) | (0.33) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.52) | (0.54) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.28) | (0.30) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.84) | (0.88) |
Things to note about Omada Health Common performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Omada Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Omada Health Common help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Omada Health Common generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Omada Health Common has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 169.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 117.43 M. | |
| Omada Health generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Omada Health Common has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Omada Health to Announce Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results and Host Conference Call on March 5, 2026 |
- Analyzing Omada Health's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Omada Health's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Omada Health's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Omada Health's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Omada Health's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Omada Health's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Omada Health's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Omada Stock analysis
When running Omada Health's price analysis, check to measure Omada Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Omada Health is operating at the current time. Most of Omada Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Omada Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Omada Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Omada Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Equity Valuation Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data | |
| Insider Screener Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance | |
| Price Ceiling Movement Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments | |
| Share Portfolio Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Competition Analyzer Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities | |
| My Watchlist Analysis Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like | |
| Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets | |
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios | |
| Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites |