Omada Health, Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

OMDA Stock   15.95  0.03  0.19%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Omada Health, Common on the next trading day is expected to be 15.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.22. Omada Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Omada Health, stock prices and determine the direction of Omada Health, Common's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Omada Health,'s historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The current year's Receivables Turnover is expected to grow to 8.14, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 12.81. . As of December 27, 2025, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 44.6 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Omada Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Omada Health,'s spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Omada Health,'s options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Omada Health, stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Omada Health,'s open interest, investors have to compare it to Omada Health,'s spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Omada Health, is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Omada. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Omada Health, Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Omada Health,'s financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
76.4 M
Current Value
96 M
Quarterly Volatility
29.9 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Omada Health, is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Omada Health, Common value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Omada Health, Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Omada Health, Common on the next trading day is expected to be 15.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65, mean absolute percentage error of 0.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.22.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Omada Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Omada Health,'s next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Omada Health, Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Omada Health,Omada Health, Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Omada Health, Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Omada Health,'s Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Omada Health,'s downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.06 and 19.31, respectively. We have considered Omada Health,'s daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.95
15.68
Expected Value
19.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Omada Health, stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Omada Health, stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.6022
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6486
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0323
SAESum of the absolute errors40.2153
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Omada Health, Common. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Omada Health,. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Omada Health,

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Omada Health, Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Omada Health,'s price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.4016.0219.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.7515.3718.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.5720.4828.38
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.05-0.04-0.03
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Omada Health,

For every potential investor in Omada, whether a beginner or expert, Omada Health,'s price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Omada Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Omada. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Omada Health,'s price trends.

Omada Health, Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Omada Health, stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Omada Health, could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Omada Health, by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Omada Health, Common Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Omada Health,'s price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Omada Health,'s current price.

Omada Health, Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Omada Health, stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Omada Health, shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Omada Health, stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Omada Health, Common entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Omada Health, Risk Indicators

The analysis of Omada Health,'s basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Omada Health,'s investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting omada stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Omada Health, Common offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Omada Health,'s financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Omada Health, Common Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Omada Health, Common Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Omada Health, to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Health Care Technology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Omada Health,. If investors know Omada will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Omada Health, listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.79)
Revenue Per Share
23.983
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.566
The market value of Omada Health, Common is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Omada that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Omada Health,'s value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Omada Health,'s true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Omada Health,'s market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Omada Health,'s underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Omada Health,'s value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Omada Health, is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Omada Health,'s price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.