Oracle Stock Performance
| ORCL Stock | USD 160.14 3.66 2.34% |
The company holds a Beta of 0.82, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Oracle's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Oracle is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Oracle has a negative expected return of -0.46%. Please make sure to check Oracle's maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if Oracle performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Oracle has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.41) | Five Day Return 11.99 | Year To Date Return (20.03) | Ten Year Return 340.38 | All Time Return 247.3 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0125 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 2 | Dividend Date 2026-01-23 |
| Oracle dividend paid on 23rd of January 2026 | 01/23/2026 |
1 | Oracle is a Decade Stock, Could More Than Double, Says Analyst | 01/30/2026 |
2 | ORCL INVESTOR ALERT Oracle Corporation Investors with Substantial Losses Have Opportunity to Lead the Oracle Class Action Lawsuit RGRD Law | 02/04/2026 |
3 | Why Oracle Shares Are Plunging Today | 02/05/2026 |
4 | New York Stock Exchange closes higher | 02/06/2026 |
5 | Why Oracle Stock Popped Today | 02/09/2026 |
6 | Short Sellers Are Making Bank on Oracle Stock. Should You Bet Against ORCL Too | 02/10/2026 |
7 | INVESTOR ALERT Pomerantz Law Firm Reminds Investors with Losses on their Investment in Oracle Corporation of Class Action Lawsuit and Upcoming Deadlines - ORCL | 02/12/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 10.5 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -21.7 B |
Oracle Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 21,928 in Oracle on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (5,948) from holding Oracle or give up 27.13% of portfolio value over 90 days. Oracle is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.4933% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 31% of stocks are less volatile than Oracle, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Oracle Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Oracle Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 160.14 | 90 days | 160.14 | about 92.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oracle to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.04 (This Oracle probability density function shows the probability of Oracle Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Oracle Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oracle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oracle. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oracle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Oracle Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oracle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oracle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oracle, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oracle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.65 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 23.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Oracle Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oracle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oracle can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oracle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oracle has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Oracle currently holds 104.1 B in liabilities. Oracle has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Oracle's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Oracle has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 23rd of January 2026 Oracle paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: INVESTOR ALERT Pomerantz Law Firm Reminds Investors with Losses on their Investment in Oracle Corporation of Class Action Lawsuit and Upcoming Deadlines - ORCL |
Oracle Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oracle Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oracle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oracle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.2 B |
Oracle Fundamentals Growth
Oracle Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Oracle, and Oracle fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Oracle Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.69 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0686 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.25 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.32 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 564.16 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 2.87 B | ||||
| Price To Earning | 39.13 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 15.34 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 7.40 X | ||||
| Revenue | 57.4 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 41.82 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 23.91 B | ||||
| Net Income | 12.44 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 21.38 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 4.16 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 104.1 B | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.60 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 10.43 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 20.82 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 5.23 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 451.69 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 168.36 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (15.48 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | (8.06 B) | ||||
| Current Asset | 64.31 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 17.21 B | ||||
About Oracle Performance
By examining Oracle's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Oracle's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Oracle is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 9.22 | 12.44 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.11 | 0.14 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.15 | 0.14 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.09 | 0.14 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.55 | 0.43 |
Things to note about Oracle performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oracle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Oracle help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oracle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oracle has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Oracle currently holds 104.1 B in liabilities. Oracle has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Oracle's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Oracle has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 23rd of January 2026 Oracle paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: INVESTOR ALERT Pomerantz Law Firm Reminds Investors with Losses on their Investment in Oracle Corporation of Class Action Lawsuit and Upcoming Deadlines - ORCL |
- Analyzing Oracle's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Oracle's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Oracle's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Oracle's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Oracle's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Oracle's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Oracle's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Oracle. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in services. For more information on how to buy Oracle Stock please use our How to buy in Oracle Stock guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oracle. Anticipated expansion of Oracle directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Oracle assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.909 | Dividend Share 2 | Earnings Share 5.23 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.142 |
Understanding Oracle requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Oracle's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Oracle's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Oracle's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Oracle's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Oracle should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Oracle's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.